Toronto at Buffalo

Updated

Toronto Maple Leafs

(9-6-2)
Rank12
P/G2.9
PA/G2.6
58.6%41.4%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.79Projected Goals 2.87
3Final Score 9

Buffalo Sabres

(7-8-1)
Rank17
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3
Rank12
P/G2.9
PA/G2.6
Rank17
P/G3.4
PA/G3.3

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
135-1-50.8783.51

Devon Levi

StartsRecordSV%GAA
136-4-20.8920.89

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 5-2 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • TOR: Martin Jones-102
W 0-7 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Tristan Jarry • TOR: Martin Jones-107
L 6-5 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Elvis Merzļikins • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-229
W 7-3 at New York RangersTOR: Martin Jones • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+163
L 3-4 at New York IslandersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • NYI: Ilya Sorokin-120
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 9-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Daniil Tarasov • BUF: Devon Levi-183
L 0-2 at Utah Hockey ClubBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • UTA: Karel Vejmelka-108
W 5-2 at Vegas Golden KnightsBUF: Devon Levi • VEG: Logan Thompson+195
L 1-5 at Colorado AvalancheBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • COL: Ivan Prosvetov+165
W 2-5 vs Utah Hockey ClubUTA: Karel Vejmelka • BUF: Devon Levi-130

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • RWRyan ReavesIR
  • DJohn KlingbergOut for Season
  • GOJoseph WollIR
  • DMark GiordanoOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GODevon LeviUnknown
  • LWJeff SkinnerQuestionable
  • LWJordan GreenwayQuestionable
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-155-144-150-148-145-148-144-138.5
Buffalo+138+128+130+132+125+132+132+138.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-160-140-141-145-140-145-140-138.5
Buffalo+135+120+129+122+120+125+129+138.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -147 to -155
Buffalo ML moved from +133 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Toronto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -137 to -148
Buffalo ML moved from +135 to +120

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+152--1½+158-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+158-1½+157
Buffalo+1½-172-+1½-183+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157
Buffalo+1½-178+1½-175+1½-175+1½-178+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o7+107o7+100o7+106o7+100o7+106o7+107o7+113
Underu6½+113u7-123u7-120u7-122u7-120u7-122u7-120u7-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-135o6½-140o6½-140o6½-145o7+105o6½-145o6½-140o7+113
Underu6½+115u6½+120u6½+120u6½+125u7-125u6½+125u7-125u7-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-140 to o7+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-140 to o7+105
No Steam Moves On Under
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