Toronto at Buffalo

Updated
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
58.6%41.4%
Toronto WinBuffalo Win
3.79Projected Goals 2.87
3Final Score 9
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
Rank12
P/G3.0
PA/G2.5
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2

Goalies

Ilya Samsonov

StartsRecordSV%GAA
135-1-50.8783.51

Devon Levi

StartsRecordSV%GAA
136-4-20.8920.89

Last 5 Games

Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 5-2 vs New York RangersNYR: Igor Shesterkin • TOR: Martin Jones-102
W 0-7 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Tristan Jarry • TOR: Martin Jones-107
L 6-5 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Elvis Merzļikins • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-229
W 7-3 at New York RangersTOR: Martin Jones • NYR: Igor Shesterkin+163
L 3-4 at New York IslandersTOR: Ilya Samsonov • NYI: Ilya Sorokin-120
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 9-4 vs Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ: Daniil Tarasov • BUF: Devon Levi-183
L 0-2 at Utah Hockey ClubBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • UTA: Karel Vejmelka-108
W 5-2 at Vegas Golden KnightsBUF: Devon Levi • VEG: Logan Thompson+195
L 1-5 at Colorado AvalancheBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • COL: Ivan Prosvetov+165
W 2-5 vs Utah Hockey ClubUTA: Karel Vejmelka • BUF: Devon Levi-130

Injuries

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • GOIlya SamsonovUnknown
  • RWRyan ReavesIR
  • DJohn KlingbergOut for Season
  • GOJoseph WollIR
  • DMark GiordanoOut

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • GODevon LeviUnknown
  • LWJeff SkinnerQuestionable
  • LWJordan GreenwayQuestionable
  • LWZemgus GirgensonsOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-155-144-150-148-145-148-144-138.5
Buffalo+138+128+130+132+125+132+132+138.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-160-140-141-145-140-145-140-138.5
Buffalo+135+120+129+122+120+125+129+138.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -147 to -155
Buffalo ML moved from +133 to +127

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Toronto: 10.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Toronto: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Toronto ML moved from -137 to -148
Buffalo ML moved from +135 to +120

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+152--1½+158-1½+150-1½+150-1½+150-1½+158-1½+157
Buffalo+1½-172-+1½-183+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-170+1½-157
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Toronto-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+150-1½+150-1½+155-1½+155-1½+157
Buffalo+1½-178+1½-175+1½-175+1½-178+1½-170+1½-175+1½-170+1½-157

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o7+107o7+100o7+106o7+100o7+106o7+107o7+113
Underu6½+113u7-123u7-120u7-122u7-120u7-122u7-120u7-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-135o6½-140o6½-140o6½-145o7+105o6½-145o6½-140o7+113
Underu6½+115u6½+120u6½+120u6½+125u7-125u6½+125u7-125u7-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-140 to o7+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o6½-140 to o7+105
No Steam Moves On Under