Pittsburgh at Toronto

Updated

Pittsburgh Penguins

(6-9-3)
Rank25
P/G2.7
PA/G3.9
45.4%54.6%
Pittsburgh WinToronto Win
3.16Projected Goals 3.63
4Final Score 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

(10-6-2)
Rank13
P/G3.0
PA/G2.6
Rank25
P/G2.7
PA/G3.9
Rank13
P/G3.0
PA/G2.6

Goalies

Casey DeSmith

StartsRecordSV%GAA
51-3-10.9132.80

Erik Kallgren

StartsRecordSV%GAA
51-1-30.8902.99

Last 5 Games

Pittsburgh Penguins
Money Line
W 4-1 at Washington CapitalsPIT: Casey DeSmith • WSH: Darcy Kuemper-117
L 3-2 vs Seattle KrakenSEA: Martin Jones • PIT: Tristan Jarry-190
L 3-6 at Buffalo SabresPIT: Casey DeSmith • BUF: Eric Comrie-115
L 6-5 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • PIT: Tristan Jarry-115
L 1-3 at Seattle KrakenPIT: Casey DeSmith • SEA: Martin Jones-120
Toronto Maple Leafs
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Vegas Golden KnightsVEG: Logan Thompson • TOR: Erik Kallgren+100
W 3-1 at Carolina HurricanesTOR: Erik Kallgren • CAR: Frederik Andersen+155
W 1-2 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-130
W 2-5 vs Philadelphia FlyersPHI: Felix Sandstrom • TOR: Ilya Samsonov-300
L 3-4 at Anaheim DucksTOR: Erik Kallgren • ANA: John Gibson-170

Injuries

Pittsburgh Penguins

Status
  • DJan RuttaProbable
  • DPierre-Olivier JosephOut
  • CTeddy BluegerOut

Toronto Maple Leafs

Status
  • CCalle JarnkrokProbable
  • GOIlya SamsonovOut
  • DTimothy LiljegrenIR
  • DJordie BennIR
  • GOMatt MurrayIR
  • DJake MuzzinIR
  • LWKyle CliffordIR
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+150+133+130+136+130+136+136+138.0
Toronto-170-149-150-150-150-150-149-138.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+132+130+138+130+135+132+138+138.0
Toronto-145-150-151-150-155-145-145-138.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Pittsburgh ML moved from +138 to +130
Toronto ML moved from -145 to -154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Toronto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Pittsburgh: 30.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Pittsburgh: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Pittsburgh: 0.0%
Toronto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Pittsburgh ML
Toronto ML moved from -145 to -157

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+1½-183+1½-183+1½-195+1½-184+1½-190+1½-184+1½-183+1½-174
Toronto-1½+163-1½+162-1½+165-1½+164-1½+165-1½+164-1½+165-1½+174
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Pittsburgh+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-180+1½-180+1½-180+1½-175+1½-174
Toronto-1½+160-1½+160-1½+155-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+174

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-130o6½-118o6½-115o6½-113o6½-115o6½-113o6½-113o6½-104
Underu6½+110u6½+102u6½-105u6½+102u6½-105u6½+102u6½+102u6½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½-115o6½-115o6½-110o6½-115o6½-110o6½-115o6½-110o6½-104
Underu6½-105u6½-105u6½-110u6½-105u6½-110u6½-105u6½-105u6½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½+109 to u6½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u6½-105 to u6½-115
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