Buffalo at Tampa Bay

Updated

Buffalo Sabres

(9-9-1)
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
43.1%56.9%
Buffalo WinTampa Bay Win
2.86Projected Goals 3.61
3Final Score 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

(10-6-1)
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8
Rank14
P/G3.3
PA/G3.2
Rank6
P/G3.5
PA/G2.8

Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3217-15-20.9142.47

Andrei Vasilevskiy

StartsRecordSV%GAA
3520-15-00.8962.99

Last 5 Games

Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 2-3 at Florida PanthersBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • FLA: Sergei Bobrovsky+193
W 2-3 vs Carolina HurricanesCAR: Spencer Martin • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen+120
W 2-1 at Columbus Blue JacketsBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • CBJ: Daniil Tarasov-154
W 3-2 at Montreal CanadiensBUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen • MTL: Sam Montembeault-140
L 4-3 vs Anaheim DucksANA: John Gibson • BUF: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen-199
Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 2-6 at Philadelphia FlyersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • PHI: Samuel Ersson-130
W 4-1 at New Jersey DevilsTBL: Jonas Johansson • NJD: Akira Schmid+125
W 4-2 at New York IslandersTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • NYI: Ilya Sorokin-110
L 5-3 vs Washington CapitalsWSH: Charlie Lindgren • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-185
L 4-2 vs Ottawa SenatorsOTT: Anton Forsberg • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-158

Injuries

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • DErik JohnsonOut
  • DMattias SamuelssonOut for Season
  • GOUkko-Pekka LuukkonenUnknown

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • LWTanner JeannotOut
  • DHaydn FleuryQuestionable
  • GOAndrei VasilevskiyUnknown
  • DMikhail SergachevIR
Amalie Arena, Tampa, FL

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+144+135+133+130+130+130+135+136.5
Tampa Bay-162-151-155-146-150-146-146-136.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+136+130+135+130+135+133+135+136.5
Tampa Bay-152-150-148-150-155-148-148-136.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +138 to +130
Tampa Bay ML moved from -150 to -158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Buffalo: 10.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Buffalo: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Buffalo: 0.0%
Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Buffalo ML moved from +140 to +130
Tampa Bay ML moved from -152 to -160

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-190-+1½-190+1½-183+1½-180+1½-183+1½-180+1½-170
Tampa Bay-1½+165--1½+163-1½+163-1½+160-1½+163-1½+163-1½+170
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Buffalo+1½-190+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-180+1½-180+1½-170+1½-170
Tampa Bay-1½+165-1½+160-1½+160-1½+150-1½+160-1½+160-1½+160-1½+170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½+102o6½+102o6½+104o6½+100o6½+104o6½+104o6½+111
Underu6½-116u6½-118u6½-122u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-118u6½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+100o6½+111
Underu6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-120u6½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
St. Louis at Edmonton
Vegas at Boston