Tampa Bay at Buffalo

Updated

Tampa Bay Lightning

(20-12-2)
Rank3
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
70.8%29.2%
Tampa Bay WinBuffalo Win
3.50Projected Goals 2.08
1Final Score 5

Buffalo Sabres

(14-19-4)
Rank25
P/G3.1
PA/G3.4
Rank3
P/G3.9
PA/G2.8
Rank25
P/G3.1
PA/G3.4

Goalies

Brian Elliott

StartsRecordSV%GAA
00-0-00.0000.00

Craig Anderson

StartsRecordSV%GAA
32-1-00.9332.01

Last 5 Games

Tampa Bay Lightning
Money Line
L 4-3 vs Colorado AvalancheCOL: Darcy Kuemper • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-108
L 4-1 vs Florida PanthersFLA: Spencer Knight • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-109
W 2-1 at Washington CapitalsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • WSH: Vitek Vanecek-117
W 7-6 at Detroit Red WingsTBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy • DET: Thomas Greiss-200
L 6-2 vs Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT: Tristan Jarry • TBL: Andrei Vasilevskiy-250
Buffalo Sabres
Money Line
L 1-2 at New Jersey DevilsBUF: Dustin Tokarski • NJD: Nico Dawes+166
L 4-1 vs Boston BruinsBOS: Linus Ullmark • BUF: Craig Anderson+200
W 2-5 vs Vancouver CanucksVAN: Thatcher Demko • BUF: Craig Anderson+136
W 1-2 vs Utah Hockey ClubUTA: Karel Vejmelka • BUF: Dustin Tokarski-120
W 1-5 vs Montreal CanadiensMTL: Sam Montembeault • BUF: Craig Anderson+132

Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning

Status
  • CGemel SmithOut
  • DZach BogosianOut
  • GOAndrei VasilevskiyRest
  • LWPat MaroonOut
  • DCallan FooteOut
  • RWNikita KucherovIR
  • CAlex Barre-BouletProbable

Buffalo Sabres

Status
  • DMattias SamuelssonOut
  • CCasey MittelstadtIR
  • DHenri JokiharjuIR
  • CCody EakinOut
  • RWLukas RousekOut
KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-190-170-168-165-170-168-165-159.6
Buffalo+171+145+152+145+150+152+152+159.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-200-170-168-170-170-165-165-159.6
Buffalo+175+150+153+150+150+150+153+159.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 50.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -170 to -180
Buffalo ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tampa Bay: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Buffalo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tampa Bay: 50.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tampa Bay: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tampa Bay: 0.0%
Buffalo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tampa Bay ML moved from -165 to -171
Buffalo ML moved from +157 to +150

Spread

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+120-1½+140-1½+149-1½+145-1½+145-1½+149-1½+149-1½+152
Buffalo+1½-140+1½-165+1½-169+1½-165+1½-170+1½-169+1½-165+1½-152
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tampa Bay-1½+120-1½+145-1½+152-1½+140-1½+145-1½+145-1½+152-1½+152
Buffalo+1½-140+1½-165+1½-172+1½-160+1½-165+1½-165+1½-160+1½-152

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-108o6-105o6+104o6-105o6-105o6+104o6+104o6+104
Underu6-102u6-115u6-115u6-115u6-115u6-115u6-115u6-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6-110o6+104
Underu6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-110u6-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under
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