Lillestrom at Stromsgodset

Updated

Lillestrom

34.2%25.8%40.0%
Lillestrom WinDrawStromsgodset Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.41
2Final Score 3

Stromsgodset

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Molde+160
L 1-2 at Kristiansund-125
T 2-2 vs Sarpsborg 08-125
W 1-3 vs Stromsgodset+115
L 0-3 at Molde+540
Stromsgodset
Money Line
T 2-2 at Sandefjord+180
L 3-2 vs Brann+145
L 0-2 at Odd+125
L 1-0 vs Tromso+120
L 1-3 at Lillestrom+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+200+184+180+175+184+175+184+188.0
Stromsgodset+115+132+130+136+126+136+136+147.1
Draw+265+289+255+285+277+285+289+303.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+200----+175+175+188.0
Stromsgodset+120----+130+130+147.1
Draw+280----+295+295+303.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 10.0%
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +189 to +181
Stromsgodset ML moved from +129 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 10.0%
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Stromsgodset: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +175 to +165
Stromsgodset ML moved from +140 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-136o3¼+102o3-124o3¼-101o3-124o3-124o3-113
Underu3-110u3+116u3¼-122u3+104u3¼-121u3+104u3+116u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-113
Under-----u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.7%
 
No45.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.76%
Exactly 224.53%
Exactly 414.84%
Exactly 63.59%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.20%
Exactly 322.03%
Exactly 58.00%
Exactly 71.38%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 027.70%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.83%
Exactly 39.77%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Stromsgodset
Exactly 024.39%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 224.28%
Exactly 311.42%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.72%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 39.30%
Exactly 50.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 055.19%
Exactly 132.80%
Exactly 29.75%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stromsgodset
Exactly 052.03%
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 211.10%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals14.84%
Wins by 3+ goals5.06%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%
Stromsgodset
Wins by 2+ goals18.77%
Wins by 3+ goals6.95%
Wins by 4+ goals2.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal19.29%
Wins by 2 goals9.79%
Wins by 3 goals3.68%
Wins by 4 goals1.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%
Stromsgodset
Wins by 1 goal21.20%
Wins by 2 goals11.83%
Wins by 3 goals4.88%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.24%6.76%
1.575.04%24.96%
2.550.51%49.49%
3.528.48%71.52%
4.513.63%86.37%
5.55.63%94.37%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.30%27.70%
1.536.74%63.26%
2.513.92%86.08%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Stromsgodset Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.61%24.39%
1.541.20%58.80%
2.516.92%83.08%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.28%28.72%
1.535.45%64.55%
2.513.10%86.90%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
Score012345
0
6.76%
9.53%
6.73%
3.16%
1.12%
0.31%
1
8.67%
12.24%
8.63%
4.06%
1.43%
0.40%
2
5.57%
7.85%
5.54%
2.61%
0.92%
0.26%
3
2.38%
3.36%
2.37%
1.12%
0.39%
0.11%
4
0.76%
1.08%
0.76%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
5
0.20%
0.28%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-08.67%
2-05.57%
2-17.85%
3-02.38%
3-13.36%
3-22.37%
4-00.76%
4-11.08%
4-20.76%
4-30.36%
5-00.20%
5-10.28%
5-20.20%
Draw
0-06.76%
1-112.24%
2-25.54%
3-31.12%
4-40.13%
Stromsgodset
0-19.53%
0-26.73%
1-28.63%
0-33.16%
1-34.06%
2-32.61%
0-41.12%
1-41.43%
2-40.92%
3-40.39%
0-50.31%
1-50.40%
2-50.26%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Stromsgodset
Score01234
0
28.72%
18.76%
6.13%
1.33%
0.22%
1
17.07%
11.15%
3.64%
0.79%
0.13%
2
5.07%
3.31%
1.08%
0.24%
0.04%
3
1.01%
0.66%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-017.07%
2-05.07%
2-13.31%
3-01.01%
3-10.66%
3-20.21%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-028.72%
1-111.15%
2-21.08%
Stromsgodset
0-118.76%
0-26.13%
1-23.64%
0-31.33%
1-30.79%
2-30.24%
0-40.22%
1-40.13%