Valerenga at Lillestrom

Updated

Valerenga

31.0%25.5%43.5%
Valerenga WinDrawLillestrom Win
1.09Projected Goals 1.53
0Final Score 0

Lillestrom

Last 5 Games

Valerenga
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Brann-105
L 1-2 at Sarpsborg 08+205
W 1-2 vs Haugesund-115
T 2-2 at Rosenborg+235
W 0-3 vs Stromsgodset-135
Lillestrom
Money Line
W 3-1 at Rosenborg+490
W 0-3 vs Stabaek-195
L 1-5 at Viking+325
T 0-0 vs Kristiansund+110
L 1-2 at Sarpsborg 08+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+190+240+260+267+253+260+267+279.1
Lillestrom+145+100+101+103-101+101+103+108.6
Draw+230+255+245+280+265+245+280+289.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valerenga+200----+245+245+279.1
Lillestrom+125----+105+105+108.6
Draw+265----+265+265+289.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Valerenga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valerenga ML moved from +235 to +228
Lillestrom ML moved from +105 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valerenga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valerenga: 20.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Valerenga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valerenga: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Valerenga ML
Lillestrom ML moved from +120 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o2½-125o2½-121o2¾+103-o2½-121o2½-121o2¾+110
Underu2½+114u2½+105u2½+101u2¾-116-u2½+101u2¾-116u2¾-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+110
Under-----u2¾-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-132 to u2½+113

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.9%
 
No48.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.31%
Exactly 225.01%
Exactly 414.27%
Exactly 63.26%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.12%
Exactly 321.81%
Exactly 57.47%
Exactly 71.22%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Valerenga
Exactly 033.69%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 37.23%
Exactly 41.97%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 021.69%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 225.33%
Exactly 312.91%
Exactly 44.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 50.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valerenga
Exactly 060.43%
Exactly 130.44%
Exactly 27.67%
Exactly 31.29%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 049.28%
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 212.34%
Exactly 32.91%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valerenga
Wins by 2+ goals10.26%
Wins by 3+ goals2.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals23.92%
Wins by 3+ goals9.55%
Wins by 4+ goals3.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Valerenga
Lillestrom
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Valerenga
Wins by 1 goal16.66%
Wins by 2 goals7.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals14.37%
Wins by 3 goals6.48%
Wins by 4 goals2.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.69%7.31%
1.573.58%26.42%
2.548.57%51.43%
3.526.76%73.24%
4.512.49%87.51%
5.55.02%94.98%
6.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Valerenga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.31%33.69%
1.529.65%70.35%
2.59.72%90.28%
3.52.49%97.51%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.31%21.69%
1.545.17%54.83%
2.519.83%80.17%
3.56.93%93.07%
4.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.15%65.85%
2.512.30%87.70%
3.53.48%96.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valerenga
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
7.31%
11.17%
8.53%
4.35%
1.66%
0.51%
1
7.95%
12.15%
9.29%
4.73%
1.81%
0.55%
2
4.32%
6.61%
5.05%
2.57%
0.98%
0.30%
3
1.57%
2.40%
1.83%
0.93%
0.36%
0.11%
4
0.43%
0.65%
0.50%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
Valerenga
1-07.95%
2-04.32%
2-16.61%
3-01.57%
3-12.40%
3-21.83%
4-00.43%
4-10.65%
4-20.50%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-07.31%
1-112.15%
2-25.05%
3-30.93%
Lillestrom
0-111.17%
0-28.53%
1-29.29%
0-34.35%
1-34.73%
2-32.57%
0-41.66%
1-41.81%
2-40.98%
3-40.36%
0-50.51%
1-50.55%
2-50.30%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Valerenga
Lillestrom
Score01234
0
29.78%
21.07%
7.46%
1.76%
0.31%
1
15.00%
10.61%
3.76%
0.89%
0.16%
2
3.78%
2.67%
0.95%
0.22%
0.04%
3
0.63%
0.45%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Valerenga
1-015.00%
2-03.78%
2-12.67%
3-00.63%
3-10.45%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-029.78%
1-110.61%
2-20.95%
Lillestrom
0-121.07%
0-27.46%
1-23.76%
0-31.76%
1-30.89%
2-30.22%
0-40.31%
1-40.16%
Stromsgodset at Tromso
Mjøndalen at Stromsgodset