Lillestrom at Aalesund

Updated

Lillestrom

61.8%20.4%17.8%
Lillestrom WinDrawWin
2.10Projected Goals 1.03
1Final Score 2

Aalesund

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Odd-250
W 1-0 at Haugesund+135
L 1-0 vs Molde+230
W 3-0 at Viking+205
L 4-1 vs Bodo/Glimt+195
Aalesund
Money Line
L 0-4 at Kristiansund+320
W 0-1 vs Sandefjord-130
T 0-0 vs HamKam+110
W 1-2 vs Viking+155
L 0-3 at Molde+800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+109-114-120-116-114-118-114-107.9
Aalesund+249+325+320+330+343+340+343+354.8
Draw+264+267+250+276+273+276+276+282.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+105-----120-120-107.9
Aalesund+240----+330+330+354.8
Draw+270----+265+265+282.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 20.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from -110 to -116
Aalesund ML moved from +330 to +315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 20.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from -110 to -120
No Steam Moves On Aalesund ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o2½-108o2½-105o2½-110o3+177o2½-110o2½-112o3+186
Underu2½+112u2½-110u2½-115u2½-110u3-203u2½-110u3-150u3-186
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+186
Under-----u3-186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-112 to u2½-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.5%
 
No43.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.38%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 417.48%
Exactly 65.70%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.70%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.93%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 012.29%
Exactly 125.77%
Exactly 227.01%
Exactly 318.87%
Exactly 49.89%
Exactly 54.15%
Exactly 61.45%
Exactly 70.43%
Exactly 80.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 035.63%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.49%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 037.89%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.85%
Exactly 35.77%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 062.01%
Exactly 129.63%
Exactly 27.08%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals38.37%
Wins by 3+ goals19.64%
Wins by 4+ goals8.39%
Wins by 5+ goals3.03%
Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals6.20%
Wins by 3+ goals1.67%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Aalesund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.41%
Wins by 2 goals18.73%
Wins by 3 goals11.25%
Wins by 4 goals5.35%
Wins by 5 goals2.10%
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal11.52%
Wins by 2 goals4.53%
Wins by 3 goals1.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.62%4.38%
1.581.92%18.08%
2.560.49%39.51%
3.538.15%61.85%
4.520.67%79.33%
5.59.74%90.26%
6.54.04%95.96%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.71%12.29%
1.561.94%38.06%
2.534.94%65.06%
3.516.07%83.93%
4.56.18%93.82%
5.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.37%35.63%
1.527.60%72.40%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.51%23.49%
1.542.48%57.52%
2.517.83%82.17%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Aalesund
Score01234
0
4.38%
4.52%
2.33%
0.80%
0.21%
1
9.18%
9.47%
4.89%
1.68%
0.43%
2
9.62%
9.93%
5.12%
1.76%
0.45%
3
6.72%
6.94%
3.58%
1.23%
0.32%
4
3.52%
3.64%
1.88%
0.65%
0.17%
5
1.48%
1.52%
0.79%
0.27%
0.07%
Lillestrom
1-09.18%
2-09.62%
2-19.93%
3-06.72%
3-16.94%
3-23.58%
4-03.52%
4-13.64%
4-21.88%
4-30.65%
5-01.48%
5-11.52%
5-20.79%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-04.38%
1-19.47%
2-25.12%
3-31.23%
4-40.17%
Aalesund
0-14.52%
0-22.33%
1-24.89%
0-30.80%
1-31.68%
2-31.76%
0-40.21%
1-40.43%
2-40.45%
3-40.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Aalesund
Score0123
0
23.49%
11.23%
2.68%
0.43%
1
22.80%
10.90%
2.60%
0.41%
2
11.07%
5.29%
1.26%
0.20%
3
3.58%
1.71%
0.41%
0.07%
4
0.87%
0.42%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-022.80%
2-011.07%
2-15.29%
3-03.58%
3-11.71%
3-20.41%
4-00.87%
4-10.42%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-023.49%
1-110.90%
2-21.26%
Aalesund
0-111.23%
0-22.68%
1-22.60%
0-30.43%
1-30.41%
2-30.20%