Lillestrom at Aalesund

Updated

Lillestrom

61.8%20.2%18.0%
Lillestrom WinDrawWin
2.13Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Aalesund

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
W 2-1 at Stromsgodset+120
L 3-1 vs Viking+120
L 1-3 at Tromso+205
W 1-3 vs HamKam-200
L 0-1 at Haugesund+110
Aalesund
Money Line
L 0-4 at Rosenborg+610
L 1-5 at Brann+775
L 2-0 vs HamKam+115
W 0-1 vs Stromsgodset+125
L 1-3 at Viking+925

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom-120-132-135-135-135-135-132-120.6
Aalesund+280+335+320+325+325+325+335+346.6
Draw+280+315+300+315+315+315+315+336.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom-120-----135-135-120.6
Aalesund+295----+325+325+346.6
Draw+295----+315+315+336.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 20.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from -112 to -120
Aalesund ML moved from +290 to +275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 20.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Aalesund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from -125 to -135
Aalesund ML moved from +310 to +275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3-115o3-110o3-116o3-116o3-116o3-110o3-105
Underu3-122u3-103u3-110u3-104u3-104u3-104u3-103u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-105
Under-----u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.6%
 
No42.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.11%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 417.77%
Exactly 66.03%
Exactly 81.10%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.12%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 511.34%
Exactly 72.75%
Exactly 90.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 011.88%
Exactly 125.31%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 410.19%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 034.59%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 219.49%
Exactly 36.90%
Exactly 41.83%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.81%
Exactly 224.91%
Exactly 44.53%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 312.27%
Exactly 51.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 037.30%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.96%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 061.17%
Exactly 130.07%
Exactly 27.39%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals38.60%
Wins by 3+ goals19.93%
Wins by 4+ goals8.61%
Wins by 5+ goals3.15%
Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.75%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Aalesund
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal23.17%
Wins by 2 goals18.67%
Wins by 3 goals11.33%
Wins by 4 goals5.46%
Wins by 5 goals2.17%
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal11.55%
Wins by 2 goals4.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.89%4.11%
1.582.77%17.23%
2.561.84%38.16%
3.539.56%60.44%
4.521.79%78.21%
5.510.45%89.55%
6.54.41%95.59%
7.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.12%11.88%
1.562.81%37.19%
2.535.85%64.15%
3.516.71%83.29%
4.56.52%93.48%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.41%34.59%
1.528.69%71.31%
2.59.20%90.80%
3.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.19%22.81%
1.543.47%56.53%
2.518.56%81.44%
3.56.29%93.71%
4.51.75%98.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Aalesund
Score01234
0
4.11%
4.36%
2.32%
0.82%
0.22%
1
8.76%
9.29%
4.93%
1.75%
0.46%
2
9.32%
9.90%
5.25%
1.86%
0.49%
3
6.62%
7.03%
3.73%
1.32%
0.35%
4
3.53%
3.74%
1.99%
0.70%
0.19%
5
1.50%
1.59%
0.85%
0.30%
0.08%
Lillestrom
1-08.76%
2-09.32%
2-19.90%
3-06.62%
3-17.03%
3-23.73%
4-03.53%
4-13.74%
4-21.99%
4-30.70%
5-01.50%
5-11.59%
5-20.85%
5-30.30%
Draw
0-04.11%
1-19.29%
2-25.25%
3-31.32%
4-40.19%
Aalesund
0-14.36%
0-22.32%
1-24.93%
0-30.82%
1-31.75%
2-31.86%
0-40.22%
1-40.46%
2-40.49%
3-40.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Aalesund
Score0123
0
22.81%
11.21%
2.76%
0.45%
1
22.50%
11.06%
2.72%
0.45%
2
11.10%
5.45%
1.34%
0.22%
3
3.65%
1.79%
0.44%
0.07%
4
0.90%
0.44%
0.11%
0.02%
5
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Lillestrom
1-022.50%
2-011.10%
2-15.45%
3-03.65%
3-11.79%
3-20.44%
4-00.90%
4-10.44%
4-20.11%
5-00.18%
Draw
0-022.81%
1-111.06%
2-21.34%
Aalesund
0-111.21%
0-22.76%
1-22.72%
0-30.45%
1-30.45%
2-30.22%