Aalesund at Lillestrom

Updated

Aalesund

11.6%15.7%72.7%
WinDrawLillestrom Win
0.97Projected Goals 2.63
0Final Score 2

Lillestrom

Last Games

Aalesund
Money Line
W 3-2 at Odd+310
T 2-2 vs Tromso+120
L 0-1 at Viking+600
W 0-1 vs Kristiansund+115
Lillestrom
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Haugesund-170
W 2-1 at Molde+460
T 2-2 at HamKam
W 0-2 vs Sandefjord-235
T 3-3 at Molde+510

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+370+340+340+382+345+340+382+384.1
Lillestrom-150-125-125-129-141-125-125-118.8
Draw+295+260+275+287+300+275+300+299.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+380----+360+360+384.1
Lillestrom-140-----135-135-118.8
Draw+285----+285+285+299.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalesund: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalesund ML moved from +350 to +340
Lillestrom ML moved from -130 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalesund: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalesund ML moved from +385 to +360
Lillestrom ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2¾-102o2¾+104o3+131-o2¾+104o2¾+104o2½-119
Underu3-122u2¾-118u2¾-124u3-146-u2¾-124u3-146u2½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-119
Under-----u2½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.7%
 
No42.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.72%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 419.13%
Exactly 68.28%
Exactly 81.92%
Exactly 100.28%
 
Exactly 19.81%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 513.79%
Exactly 74.26%
Exactly 90.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 07.21%
Exactly 118.96%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 63.31%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.85%
Exactly 226.24%
Exactly 46.09%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.46%
Exactly 314.60%
Exactly 52.03%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 063.71%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 029.59%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals3.73%
Wins by 3+ goals0.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals51.49%
Wins by 3+ goals30.98%
Wins by 4+ goals15.87%
Wins by 5+ goals7.00%
Wins by 6+ goals2.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.89%
Wins by 8+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Aalesund
Lillestrom
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal7.84%
Wins by 2 goals2.80%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal21.19%
Wins by 2 goals20.51%
Wins by 3 goals15.10%
Wins by 4 goals8.88%
Wins by 5 goals4.32%
Wins by 6 goals1.79%
Wins by 7 goals0.64%
Wins by 8 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.28%2.72%
1.587.47%12.53%
2.569.79%30.21%
3.548.56%51.44%
4.529.43%70.57%
5.515.64%84.36%
6.57.36%92.64%
7.53.09%96.91%
8.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.46%74.54%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.79%7.21%
1.573.84%26.16%
2.548.91%51.09%
3.527.05%72.95%
4.512.69%87.31%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.15%18.85%
1.549.69%50.31%
2.523.45%76.55%
3.58.85%91.15%
4.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aalesund
Lillestrom
Score0123456
0
2.72%
7.16%
9.42%
8.25%
5.43%
2.85%
1.25%
1
2.65%
6.97%
9.17%
8.04%
5.28%
2.78%
1.22%
2
1.29%
3.39%
4.46%
3.91%
2.57%
1.35%
0.59%
3
0.42%
1.10%
1.45%
1.27%
0.83%
0.44%
0.19%
4
0.10%
0.27%
0.35%
0.31%
0.20%
0.11%
0.05%
Aalesund
1-02.65%
2-01.29%
2-13.39%
3-00.42%
3-11.10%
3-21.45%
4-00.10%
4-10.27%
4-20.35%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-02.72%
1-16.97%
2-24.46%
3-31.27%
4-40.20%
Lillestrom
0-17.16%
0-29.42%
1-29.17%
0-38.25%
1-38.04%
2-33.91%
0-45.43%
1-45.28%
2-42.57%
3-40.83%
0-52.85%
1-52.78%
2-51.35%
3-50.44%
4-50.11%
0-61.25%
1-61.22%
2-60.59%
3-60.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Aalesund
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
18.85%
22.96%
13.98%
5.67%
1.73%
0.42%
1
8.50%
10.35%
6.30%
2.56%
0.78%
0.19%
2
1.92%
2.33%
1.42%
0.58%
0.18%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.35%
0.21%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Aalesund
1-08.50%
2-01.92%
2-12.33%
3-00.29%
3-10.35%
3-20.21%
Draw
0-018.85%
1-110.35%
2-21.42%
Lillestrom
0-122.96%
0-213.98%
1-26.30%
0-35.67%
1-32.56%
2-30.58%
0-41.73%
1-40.78%
2-40.18%
0-50.42%
1-50.19%
Molde at Rosenborg
Haugesund at Viking