Lillestrom at Molde

Updated

Lillestrom

16.2%18.4%65.5%
WinDrawMolde Win
1.10Projected Goals 2.36
0Final Score 4

Molde

Last 5 Games

Lillestrom
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Haugesund-125
L 1-3 at Bodo/Glimt+825
W 0-2 vs Valerenga+115
L 0-1 at Stabaek+195
L 2-0 vs Brann+160
Molde
Money Line
L 1-3 at Rosenborg-120
L 4-1 vs Tromso-160
L 2-3 at Brann+180
L 3-1 vs Bodo/Glimt+105
W 0-4 vs Viking-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+475+392+380+385+385+385+392+409.4
Molde-215-153-165-162-162-162-153-143.2
Draw+360+332+330+343+343+343+343+365.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Lillestrom+485----+365+365+409.4
Molde-200-----160-160-143.2
Draw+365----+350+350+365.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Molde: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lillestrom: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +377 to +368
Molde ML moved from -265 to -275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Molde: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Lillestrom: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Lillestrom: 0.0%
Molde: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Lillestrom ML moved from +420 to +365
Molde ML moved from -200 to -290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-105o3-108o3¼-102o3-108o3-108o3-108o3-108o3+102
Underu3¼-115u3-108u3¼-118u3-112u3-112u3-112u3¼-118u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes60.3%
 
No39.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.15%
Exactly 218.82%
Exactly 418.77%
Exactly 67.48%
Exactly 81.60%
Exactly 100.21%
 
Exactly 110.88%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 512.98%
Exactly 73.70%
Exactly 90.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 033.38%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.09%
Exactly 37.35%
Exactly 42.02%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Molde
Exactly 09.42%
Exactly 122.26%
Exactly 226.29%
Exactly 320.70%
Exactly 412.22%
Exactly 55.77%
Exactly 62.27%
Exactly 70.77%
Exactly 80.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.16%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 45.53%
Exactly 60.47%
 
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 313.80%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 060.17%
Exactly 130.57%
Exactly 27.76%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Molde
Exactly 033.50%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 37.30%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals5.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%
Molde
Wins by 2+ goals43.15%
Wins by 3+ goals23.87%
Wins by 4+ goals11.14%
Wins by 5+ goals4.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.50%
Wins by 7+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Lillestrom
Molde
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal10.33%
Wins by 2 goals4.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Molde
Wins by 1 goal22.24%
Wins by 2 goals19.28%
Wins by 3 goals12.73%
Wins by 4 goals6.71%
Wins by 5 goals2.93%
Wins by 6 goals1.08%
Wins by 7 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.85%3.15%
1.585.97%14.03%
2.567.15%32.85%
3.545.45%54.55%
4.526.69%73.31%
5.513.70%86.30%
6.56.22%93.78%
7.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.62%33.38%
1.529.99%70.01%
2.59.90%90.10%
3.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Molde Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.58%9.42%
1.568.32%31.68%
2.542.03%57.97%
3.521.34%78.66%
4.59.12%90.88%
5.53.34%96.66%
6.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.84%20.16%
1.547.56%52.44%
2.521.70%78.30%
3.57.90%92.10%
4.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Lillestrom
Molde
Score0123456
0
3.15%
7.43%
8.77%
6.91%
4.08%
1.93%
0.76%
1
3.45%
8.15%
9.63%
7.58%
4.48%
2.11%
0.83%
2
1.89%
4.47%
5.28%
4.16%
2.46%
1.16%
0.46%
3
0.69%
1.64%
1.93%
1.52%
0.90%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.19%
0.45%
0.53%
0.42%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
Lillestrom
1-03.45%
2-01.89%
2-14.47%
3-00.69%
3-11.64%
3-21.93%
4-00.19%
4-10.45%
4-20.53%
4-30.42%
Draw
0-03.15%
1-18.15%
2-25.28%
3-31.52%
4-40.25%
Molde
0-17.43%
0-28.77%
1-29.63%
0-36.91%
1-37.58%
2-34.16%
0-44.08%
1-44.48%
2-42.46%
3-40.90%
0-51.93%
1-52.11%
2-51.16%
3-50.42%
4-50.12%
0-60.76%
1-60.83%
2-60.46%
3-60.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Lillestrom
Molde
Score012345
0
20.16%
22.04%
12.05%
4.39%
1.20%
0.26%
1
10.24%
11.20%
6.12%
2.23%
0.61%
0.13%
2
2.60%
2.84%
1.56%
0.57%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.44%
0.48%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Lillestrom
1-010.24%
2-02.60%
2-12.84%
3-00.44%
3-10.48%
3-20.26%
Draw
0-020.16%
1-111.20%
2-21.56%
Molde
0-122.04%
0-212.05%
1-26.12%
0-34.39%
1-32.23%
2-30.57%
0-41.20%
1-40.61%
2-40.15%
0-50.26%
1-50.13%
Aalesund at Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord at Stabæk