Aalesund at Lillestrom

Updated

Aalesund

7.2%12.4%80.5%
WinDrawLillestrom Win
0.78Projected Goals 2.91
1Final Score 5

Lillestrom

Last 5 Games

Aalesund
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Odd+135
L 1-2 at HamKam+300
W 0-1 vs Rosenborg+215
L 3-2 vs Tromso+130
L 3-1 vs Brann+450
Lillestrom
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Sandefjord-290
W 2-1 at Rosenborg+190
L 1-0 vs Tromso-160
T 2-2 at Brann+475
W 1-3 vs Stabaek-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+623+792+725+825+780+825+825+870.3
Lillestrom-223-296-315-315-315-315-296-261.8
Draw+374+454+420+450+434+450+454+476.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aalesund+650----+800+800+870.3
Lillestrom-240-----310-310-261.8
Draw+375----+450+450+476.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalesund: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aalesund ML moved from +796 to +780
Lillestrom ML moved from -300 to -310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aalesund: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Lillestrom: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aalesund: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aalesund: 0.0%
Lillestrom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aalesund ML
Lillestrom ML moved from -290 to -310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-142o3¼+100o3¼-104o3¼-101o3¼-104o3¼+100o3¼+105
Underu3-116u3+120u3¼-120u3¼-116u3¼-119u3¼-116u3+120u3¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+105
Under-----u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.49%
Exactly 216.97%
Exactly 419.30%
Exactly 68.78%
Exactly 82.14%
Exactly 100.32%
 
Exactly 19.18%
Exactly 320.89%
Exactly 514.26%
Exactly 74.63%
Exactly 90.88%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Aalesund
Exactly 045.61%
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 214.05%
Exactly 33.68%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Lillestrom
Exactly 05.45%
Exactly 115.86%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.27%
Exactly 59.47%
Exactly 64.59%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.08%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 46.45%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 315.08%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aalesund
Exactly 069.53%
Exactly 125.27%
Exactly 24.59%
Exactly 30.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Lillestrom
Exactly 026.00%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 310.59%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aalesund
Wins by 2+ goals1.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%
Lillestrom
Wins by 2+ goals61.08%
Wins by 3+ goals39.88%
Wins by 4+ goals22.33%
Wins by 5+ goals10.79%
Wins by 6+ goals4.53%
Wins by 7+ goals1.65%
Wins by 8+ goals0.50%
Wins by 9+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Aalesund
Lillestrom
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Aalesund
Wins by 1 goal5.21%
Wins by 2 goals1.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.34%
Lillestrom
Wins by 1 goal19.31%
Wins by 2 goals21.20%
Wins by 3 goals17.55%
Wins by 4 goals11.54%
Wins by 5 goals6.26%
Wins by 6 goals2.88%
Wins by 7 goals1.15%
Wins by 8 goals0.40%
Wins by 9 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.51%2.49%
1.588.33%11.67%
2.571.37%28.63%
3.550.47%49.53%
4.531.17%68.83%
5.516.91%83.09%
6.58.13%91.87%
7.53.50%96.50%
8.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Aalesund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.39%45.61%
1.518.58%81.42%
2.54.53%95.47%

Total Goals Lillestrom Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.55%5.45%
1.578.69%21.31%
2.555.63%44.37%
3.533.25%66.75%
4.516.98%83.02%
5.57.51%92.49%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.92%18.08%
1.551.00%49.00%
2.524.56%75.44%
3.59.48%90.52%
4.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aalesund
Lillestrom
Score012345
0
2.49%
7.23%
10.52%
10.21%
7.42%
4.32%
1
1.95%
5.68%
8.26%
8.01%
5.83%
3.39%
2
0.77%
2.23%
3.24%
3.14%
2.29%
1.33%
3
0.20%
0.58%
0.85%
0.82%
0.60%
0.35%
Aalesund
1-01.95%
2-00.77%
2-12.23%
3-00.20%
3-10.58%
3-20.85%
Draw
0-02.49%
1-15.68%
2-23.24%
3-30.82%
4-40.12%
Lillestrom
0-17.23%
0-210.52%
1-28.26%
0-310.21%
1-38.01%
2-33.14%
0-47.42%
1-45.83%
2-42.29%
3-40.60%
0-54.32%
1-53.39%
2-51.33%
3-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Aalesund
Lillestrom
Score0123456
0
18.08%
24.35%
16.40%
7.37%
2.48%
0.67%
0.15%
1
6.57%
8.85%
5.96%
2.68%
0.90%
0.24%
0.05%
2
1.19%
1.61%
1.08%
0.49%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Aalesund
1-06.57%
2-01.19%
2-11.61%
3-00.14%
3-10.19%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-018.08%
1-18.85%
2-21.08%
Lillestrom
0-124.35%
0-216.40%
1-25.96%
0-37.37%
1-32.68%
2-30.49%
0-42.48%
1-40.90%
2-40.16%
0-50.67%
1-50.24%
0-60.15%
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