Porto at Braga

Updated

Porto

37.3%28.2%34.5%
Porto WinDrawBraga Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Boavista-800
W 3-0 at Chaves-375
T 2-2 vs Sporting CP+140
W 2-1 at Casa Pia AC-300
T 2-2 vs Famalicao-475
Braga
Money Line
W 3-2 at Vitoria+120
W 3-4 vs Casa Pia AC-335
L 1-3 at Benfica+410
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela-410
W 1-0 at Estoril-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+115+112+105+113+112+113+113+130.2
Braga+215+235+235+200+231+200+235+224.2
Draw+250+270+270+260+273+260+273+289.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+125----+110+110+130.2
Braga+215----+230+230+224.2
Draw+250----+270+270+289.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +103 to -102
Braga ML moved from +241 to +235

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Braga: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +125 to +105
Braga ML moved from +235 to +225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3-105o3+100o3-103o3+100o3+100o3+109
Underu3-115u3-113u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-120u3-113u3-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+109
Under-----u3-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-119 to o3¼-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.80%
Exactly 226.44%
Exactly 411.88%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.77%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.52%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 030.43%
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 221.54%
Exactly 38.54%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 032.21%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.67%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.12%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.07%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 057.65%
Exactly 131.75%
Exactly 28.75%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 059.18%
Exactly 131.04%
Exactly 28.14%
Exactly 31.42%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals15.78%
Wins by 3+ goals5.15%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals13.92%
Wins by 3+ goals4.29%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Porto
Wins by 1 goal21.50%
Wins by 2 goals10.63%
Wins by 3 goals3.81%
Wins by 4 goals1.06%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.47%
Wins by 2 goals9.63%
Wins by 3 goals3.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.20%9.80%
1.567.43%32.57%
2.540.99%59.01%
3.520.53%79.47%
4.58.64%91.36%
5.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.57%30.43%
1.533.37%66.63%
2.511.83%88.17%
3.53.29%96.71%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.79%32.21%
1.531.30%68.70%
2.510.63%89.37%
3.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.88%34.12%
1.529.19%70.81%
2.59.47%90.53%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Braga
Score012345
0
9.80%
11.10%
6.29%
2.38%
0.67%
0.15%
1
11.66%
13.21%
7.48%
2.83%
0.80%
0.18%
2
6.94%
7.86%
4.45%
1.68%
0.48%
0.11%
3
2.75%
3.12%
1.77%
0.67%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.82%
0.93%
0.53%
0.20%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.19%
0.22%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-011.66%
2-06.94%
2-17.86%
3-02.75%
3-13.12%
3-21.77%
4-00.82%
4-10.93%
4-20.53%
4-30.20%
5-00.19%
5-10.22%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-09.80%
1-113.21%
2-24.45%
3-30.67%
Braga
0-111.10%
0-26.29%
1-27.48%
0-32.38%
1-32.83%
2-31.68%
0-40.67%
1-40.80%
2-40.48%
3-40.19%
0-50.15%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Braga
Score01234
0
34.12%
17.90%
4.69%
0.82%
0.11%
1
18.79%
9.86%
2.59%
0.45%
0.06%
2
5.18%
2.71%
0.71%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.95%
0.50%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.13%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Porto
1-018.79%
2-05.18%
2-12.71%
3-00.95%
3-10.50%
3-20.13%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-034.12%
1-19.86%
2-20.71%
Braga
0-117.90%
0-24.69%
1-22.59%
0-30.82%
1-30.45%
2-30.12%
0-40.11%
Chaves at Sporting CP
Rio Ave at Sporting CP