Benfica at Moreirense

Updated

Benfica

53.7%21.9%24.4%
Benfica WinDrawMoreirense Win
1.88Projected Goals 0.86
2Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 3-1 at Vitoria+110
W 3-4 vs Sporting CP-110
W 3-1 at Nacional-270
T 1-1 vs Porto+145
W 2-0 at Tondela-350
Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Famalicao+290
L 1-2 at Braga+600
W 2-1 at Portimonense+380
T 2-2 vs Nacional+130
L 0-2 at Vitoria+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-249--230-250-246-250-230-
Moreirense+701-+575+630+623+630+630-
Draw+351-+360+335+375+335+375-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-225-----275-275-
Moreirense+615----+750+750-
Draw+360----+400+400-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -280 to -290
Moreirense ML moved from +600 to +575

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -235 to -275
Moreirense ML moved from +575 to +560

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-114-o2¾-110o2¾-109-o2¾-109o2¾-109-
Underu2¾-106-u2¾-110u2¾-111-u2¾-111u2¾-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.44%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 415.19%
Exactly 63.81%
Exactly 80.51%
 
Exactly 117.66%
Exactly 322.14%
Exactly 58.33%
Exactly 71.49%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 015.16%
Exactly 128.60%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.97%
Exactly 48.00%
Exactly 53.02%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 042.47%
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 215.57%
Exactly 34.44%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.08%
Exactly 222.65%
Exactly 43.04%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 39.59%
Exactly 50.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 041.75%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.93%
Exactly 34.64%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 067.27%
Exactly 126.67%
Exactly 25.29%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals36.58%
Wins by 3+ goals17.56%
Wins by 4+ goals6.93%
Wins by 5+ goals2.27%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals5.12%
Wins by 3+ goals1.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.99%
Wins by 2 goals19.02%
Wins by 3 goals10.63%
Wins by 4 goals4.66%
Wins by 5 goals1.67%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal11.34%
Wins by 2 goals3.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.56%6.44%
1.575.90%24.10%
2.551.69%48.31%
3.529.54%70.46%
4.514.36%85.64%
5.56.03%93.97%
6.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.84%15.16%
1.556.25%43.75%
2.529.27%70.73%
3.512.30%87.70%
4.54.30%95.70%
5.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.53%42.47%
1.521.16%78.84%
2.55.59%94.41%
3.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.92%28.08%
1.536.25%63.75%
2.513.60%86.40%
3.54.02%95.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Moreirense
Score01234
0
6.44%
5.51%
2.36%
0.67%
0.14%
1
12.15%
10.40%
4.45%
1.27%
0.27%
2
11.46%
9.81%
4.20%
1.20%
0.26%
3
7.21%
6.17%
2.64%
0.75%
0.16%
4
3.40%
2.91%
1.25%
0.36%
0.08%
5
1.28%
1.10%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
Benfica
1-012.15%
2-011.46%
2-19.81%
3-07.21%
3-16.17%
3-22.64%
4-03.40%
4-12.91%
4-21.25%
4-30.36%
5-01.28%
5-11.10%
5-20.47%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.44%
1-110.40%
2-24.20%
3-30.75%
Moreirense
0-15.51%
0-22.36%
1-24.45%
0-30.67%
1-31.27%
2-31.20%
0-40.14%
1-40.27%
2-40.26%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Moreirense
Score0123
0
28.08%
11.13%
2.21%
0.29%
1
24.53%
9.73%
1.93%
0.25%
2
10.72%
4.25%
0.84%
0.11%
3
3.12%
1.24%
0.25%
0.03%
4
0.68%
0.27%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-024.53%
2-010.72%
2-14.25%
3-03.12%
3-11.24%
3-20.25%
4-00.68%
4-10.27%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-028.08%
1-19.73%
2-20.84%
Moreirense
0-111.13%
0-22.21%
1-21.93%
0-30.29%
1-30.25%
2-30.11%