Arouca at Paços

Updated

Arouca

24.9%23.7%51.4%
Arouca WinDrawPaços Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.71
0Final Score 0

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+800
L 1-2 at Moreirense+315
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+280
T 2-2 at Maritimo+255
L 0-3 at Porto+1600
Pacos
Money Line
L 1-2 at Porto+1300
T 2-2 vs Belenenses-120
T 1-1 at FC Vizela+220
T 0-0 vs Braga+365
W 1-0 at Portimonense+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+280+310+280+325+294+280+325+337.2
Paços-110-105-107+101-109-107+101+106.8
Draw+265+225+225+238+250+225+250+247.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+310----+310+310+337.2
Paços-105-----110-110+106.8
Draw+240----+250+250+247.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +260 to +250
Paços ML moved from -103 to -109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +310 to +295
Paços ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2¼-105o2¼-115o2¼+107-o2¼-115o2¼+107o2¼+113
Underu2½-112u2¼-115u2¼-105u2¼-121-u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+113
Under-----u2¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-117 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.88%
Exactly 225.43%
Exactly 413.69%
Exactly 62.95%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.02%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 56.96%
Exactly 71.07%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 043.67%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.99%
Exactly 34.14%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 018.04%
Exactly 130.90%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.10%
Exactly 46.47%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.83%
Exactly 221.34%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 38.37%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.14%
Exactly 126.14%
Exactly 25.01%
Exactly 30.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 045.25%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.23%
Exactly 33.76%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals5.51%
Wins by 3+ goals1.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals32.72%
Wins by 3+ goals14.64%
Wins by 4+ goals5.34%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Pacos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal12.39%
Wins by 2 goals4.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal25.61%
Wins by 2 goals18.08%
Wins by 3 goals9.29%
Wins by 4 goals3.73%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.12%7.88%
1.572.10%27.90%
2.546.67%53.33%
3.525.13%74.87%
4.511.44%88.56%
5.54.48%95.52%
6.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.33%43.67%
1.520.15%79.85%
2.55.16%94.84%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.96%18.04%
1.551.06%48.94%
2.524.61%75.39%
3.59.51%90.49%
4.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.17%30.83%
1.532.89%67.11%
2.511.55%88.45%
3.53.18%96.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Pacos
Score012345
0
7.88%
13.49%
11.55%
6.59%
2.82%
0.97%
1
6.53%
11.18%
9.57%
5.46%
2.34%
0.80%
2
2.70%
4.63%
3.97%
2.26%
0.97%
0.33%
3
0.75%
1.28%
1.10%
0.63%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.15%
0.26%
0.23%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Arouca
1-06.53%
2-02.70%
2-14.63%
3-00.75%
3-11.28%
3-21.10%
4-00.15%
4-10.26%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.88%
1-111.18%
2-23.97%
3-30.63%
Pacos
0-113.49%
0-211.55%
1-29.57%
0-36.59%
1-35.46%
2-32.26%
0-42.82%
1-42.34%
2-40.97%
3-40.27%
0-50.97%
1-50.80%
2-50.33%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Pacos
Score01234
0
30.83%
24.45%
9.69%
2.56%
0.51%
1
11.83%
9.38%
3.72%
0.98%
0.19%
2
2.27%
1.80%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-011.83%
2-02.27%
2-11.80%
3-00.29%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-030.83%
1-19.38%
2-20.71%
Pacos
0-124.45%
0-29.69%
1-23.72%
0-32.56%
1-30.98%
2-30.19%
0-40.51%
1-40.19%