Porto at Chaves

Updated

Porto

77.8%14.7%7.5%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.48Projected Goals 0.63
3Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-620
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave-525
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+190
W 0-2 vs FC Vizela-450
W 2-0 at Maritimo-380
Chaves
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+250
L 3-2 vs Sporting CP+800
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+400
W 1-2 vs Maritimo+125
L 1-2 at Vitoria+310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-360-252-265-280-265-280-252-235.1
Chaves+1000+799+700+825+836+825+836+871.5
Draw+440+371+360+387+408+387+408+411.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-315-----310-310-235.1
Chaves+975----+900+900+871.5
Draw+400----+410+410+411.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -255 to -261
Chaves ML moved from +850 to +825

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Chaves: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -315 to -350
Chaves ML moved from +1000 to +900

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-122o2½-122o2¾-102o3+147o2¾-102o2½-122o2¾+107
Underu2¾-108u2½+104u2½+102u2¾-118u3-162u2¾-118u3-150u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.9%
 
No57.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.58%
Exactly 417.38%
Exactly 65.60%
Exactly 80.97%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.88%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.80%
Exactly 72.49%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 08.40%
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 225.77%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 70.95%
Exactly 80.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 053.18%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 210.60%
Exactly 32.23%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.71%
Exactly 224.56%
Exactly 44.24%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.12%
Exactly 311.78%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 031.76%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 074.65%
Exactly 121.82%
Exactly 23.19%
Exactly 30.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals55.44%
Wins by 3+ goals33.04%
Wins by 4+ goals16.54%
Wins by 5+ goals7.03%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals1.74%
Wins by 3+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal22.29%
Wins by 2 goals22.40%
Wins by 3 goals16.50%
Wins by 4 goals9.51%
Wins by 5 goals4.48%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal5.68%
Wins by 2 goals1.45%
Wins by 3 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.65%18.35%
2.560.07%39.93%
3.537.71%62.29%
4.520.33%79.67%
5.59.53%90.47%
6.53.93%96.07%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.60%8.40%
1.570.80%29.20%
2.545.03%54.97%
3.523.76%76.24%
4.510.58%89.42%
5.54.05%95.95%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.82%53.18%
1.513.24%86.76%
2.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.29%23.71%
1.542.17%57.83%
2.517.61%82.39%
3.55.83%94.17%
4.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Chaves
Score0123
0
4.47%
2.82%
0.89%
0.19%
1
11.06%
6.99%
2.21%
0.46%
2
13.70%
8.65%
2.73%
0.58%
3
11.32%
7.14%
2.26%
0.47%
4
7.01%
4.42%
1.40%
0.29%
5
3.47%
2.19%
0.69%
0.15%
Porto
1-011.06%
2-013.70%
2-18.65%
3-011.32%
3-17.14%
3-22.26%
4-07.01%
4-14.42%
4-21.40%
4-30.29%
5-03.47%
5-12.19%
5-20.69%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-16.99%
2-22.73%
3-30.47%
Chaves
0-12.82%
0-20.89%
1-22.21%
0-30.19%
1-30.46%
2-30.58%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Chaves
Score0123
0
23.71%
6.93%
1.01%
0.10%
1
27.19%
7.95%
1.16%
0.11%
2
15.59%
4.56%
0.67%
0.06%
3
5.96%
1.74%
0.25%
0.02%
4
1.71%
0.50%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.39%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-027.19%
2-015.59%
2-14.56%
3-05.96%
3-11.74%
3-20.25%
4-01.71%
4-10.50%
5-00.39%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.71%
1-17.95%
2-20.67%
Chaves
0-16.93%
0-21.01%
1-21.16%
1-30.11%