Paços at Arouca

Updated

Pacos

26.9%27.5%45.5%
Paços WinDrawArouca Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.35
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Porto+975
W 2-0 at Belenenses+140
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela+175
L 1-2 at Braga+785
T 1-1 vs Portimonense+150
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+850
T 1-1 vs Moreirense+125
W 3-1 at Vitoria+350
L 3-0 vs Maritimo+125
L 2-0 vs Porto+850

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+190+275+255+283+253+255+283+286.5
Arouca+155+110+111+115+111+111+115+126.2
Draw+210+205+205+226+231+205+231+234.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+205----+235+235+286.5
Arouca+145----+130+130+126.2
Draw+220----+215+215+234.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +270 to +260
Arouca ML moved from +121 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paços ML
Arouca ML moved from +145 to +130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¼-102o2¼-105o2½+131-o2¼-105o2¼-102o2¼+104
Underu2¼+105u2¼-118u2¼-115u2½-146-u2¼-115u2½-146u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.78%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.91%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.73%
Exactly 320.48%
Exactly 55.54%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 037.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 025.86%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 223.65%
Exactly 310.66%
Exactly 43.60%
Exactly 50.97%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.08%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 41.91%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 063.74%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 053.47%
Exactly 133.48%
Exactly 210.48%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals9.61%
Wins by 3+ goals2.59%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals21.40%
Wins by 3+ goals7.84%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal17.30%
Wins by 2 goals7.02%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal24.05%
Wins by 2 goals13.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.22%9.78%
1.567.49%32.51%
2.541.06%58.94%
3.520.58%79.42%
4.58.67%91.33%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.19%37.81%
1.525.42%74.58%
2.57.53%92.47%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.14%25.86%
1.539.16%60.84%
2.515.51%84.49%
3.54.85%95.15%
4.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.92%34.08%
1.529.23%70.77%
2.59.49%90.51%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Arouca
Score012345
0
9.78%
13.22%
8.94%
4.03%
1.36%
0.37%
1
9.51%
12.86%
8.70%
3.92%
1.33%
0.36%
2
4.63%
6.26%
4.23%
1.91%
0.64%
0.17%
3
1.50%
2.03%
1.37%
0.62%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.36%
0.49%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Pacos
1-09.51%
2-04.63%
2-16.26%
3-01.50%
3-12.03%
3-21.37%
4-00.36%
4-10.49%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.78%
1-112.86%
2-24.23%
3-30.62%
Arouca
0-113.22%
0-28.94%
1-28.70%
0-34.03%
1-33.92%
2-31.91%
0-41.36%
1-41.33%
2-40.64%
3-40.21%
0-50.37%
1-50.36%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Arouca
Score01234
0
34.08%
21.34%
6.68%
1.39%
0.22%
1
15.35%
9.61%
3.01%
0.63%
0.10%
2
3.46%
2.16%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-015.35%
2-03.46%
2-12.16%
3-00.52%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.08%
1-19.61%
2-20.68%
Arouca
0-121.34%
0-26.68%
1-23.01%
0-31.39%
1-30.63%
2-30.14%
0-40.22%
Portimonense at Estoril
Boavista at Belenenses