Belenenses at Benfica

Updated

Belenenses

3.1%8.8%88.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.45Projected Goals 3.05
1Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Portimonense+245
T 0-0 at Santa Clara+700
T 0-0 vs Boavista+285
T 1-1 at Tondela+360
L 2-0 vs Pacos+210
Benfica
Money Line
L 2-3 at Braga+135
W 1-2 vs Estoril-325
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela-405
W 2-1 at Portimonense-200
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1700+750+730+941+831+730+941+881.4
Benfica-675-325-357-321-336-357-321-266.5
Draw+650+425+460+483+469+460+483+484.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1800----+850+850+881.4
Benfica-650-----310-310-266.5
Draw+670----+475+475+484.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 20.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +956 to +941
Benfica ML moved from -312 to -357

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +1800 to +850
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+102o3¼+102o3-121o3-123-o3-121o3-121o3-114
Underu3¼-122u3¼-122u3+101u3+108-u3+101u3¼-122u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.6%
 
No65.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.01%
Exactly 218.48%
Exactly 418.89%
Exactly 67.72%
Exactly 81.69%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.55%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 513.23%
Exactly 73.86%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 063.74%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.73%
Exactly 114.43%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.09%
Exactly 510.43%
Exactly 65.30%
Exactly 72.31%
Exactly 80.88%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.76%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 45.69%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.04%
Exactly 314.04%
Exactly 51.85%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 081.18%
Exactly 116.93%
Exactly 21.77%
Exactly 30.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 024.34%
Exactly 134.39%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 311.44%
Exactly 44.04%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals0.54%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals70.84%
Wins by 3+ goals49.17%
Wins by 4+ goals29.27%
Wins by 5+ goals15.02%
Wins by 6+ goals6.69%
Wins by 7+ goals2.58%
Wins by 8+ goals0.84%
Wins by 9+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal2.53%
Wins by 2 goals0.47%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.14%
Wins by 2 goals21.67%
Wins by 3 goals19.91%
Wins by 4 goals14.25%
Wins by 5 goals8.33%
Wins by 6 goals4.10%
Wins by 7 goals1.75%
Wins by 8 goals0.65%
Wins by 9 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.99%3.01%
1.586.43%13.57%
2.567.95%32.05%
3.546.38%53.62%
4.527.50%72.50%
5.514.27%85.73%
6.56.55%93.45%
7.52.68%97.32%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.536.26%63.74%
1.57.56%92.44%
2.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.27%4.73%
1.580.84%19.16%
2.558.83%41.17%
3.536.43%63.57%
4.519.35%80.65%
5.58.92%91.08%
6.53.62%96.38%
7.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.24%19.76%
1.548.20%51.80%
2.522.22%77.78%
3.58.18%91.82%
4.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.01%
9.20%
14.03%
14.27%
10.89%
6.65%
1
1.36%
4.14%
6.32%
6.43%
4.90%
2.99%
2
0.31%
0.93%
1.42%
1.45%
1.10%
0.67%
Belenenses
1-01.36%
2-00.31%
2-10.93%
Draw
0-03.01%
1-14.14%
2-21.42%
3-30.22%
Benfica
0-19.20%
0-214.03%
1-26.32%
0-314.27%
1-36.43%
2-31.45%
0-410.89%
1-44.90%
2-41.10%
3-40.17%
0-56.65%
1-52.99%
2-50.67%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.76%
27.92%
19.72%
9.29%
3.28%
0.93%
0.22%
1
4.12%
5.82%
4.11%
1.94%
0.68%
0.19%
0.05%
2
0.43%
0.61%
0.43%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Belenenses
1-04.12%
2-00.43%
2-10.61%
Draw
0-019.76%
1-15.82%
2-20.43%
Benfica
0-127.92%
0-219.72%
1-24.11%
0-39.29%
1-31.94%
2-30.20%
0-43.28%
1-40.68%
0-50.93%
1-50.19%
0-60.22%
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