Braga at Porto

Updated

Braga

20.5%17.5%62.0%
Braga WinDrawPorto Win
0.74Projected Goals 2.27
0Final Score 1

Porto

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Estoril-225
W 1-4 vs FC Vizela-215
L 1-6 at Benfica+470
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-210
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC-140
Porto
Money Line
W 3-0 at Portimonense-270
W 1-2 vs Vitoria-425
W 3-0 at Santa Clara-250
W 1-4 vs Boavista-625
W 3-1 at Tondela-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+470+650+570+661+602+570+661+701.4
Porto-187-265-233-224-241-233-224-207.6
Draw+329+370+340+380+375+340+380+399.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+520----+650+650+701.4
Porto-205-----240-240-207.6
Draw+360----+375+375+399.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +580 to +570
Porto ML moved from -227 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +750 to +650
Porto ML moved from -275 to -290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-113o3+125-o2¾-113o3+125o2¾+101
Underu2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-107u3-140-u2¾-107u3-140u2¾-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+101
Under-----u2¾-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.91%
Exactly 222.30%
Exactly 416.88%
Exactly 65.11%
Exactly 80.83%
 
Exactly 114.79%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.18%
Exactly 72.20%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 047.32%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 213.25%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.37%
Exactly 123.50%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 320.11%
Exactly 411.39%
Exactly 55.16%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.77%
Exactly 224.12%
Exactly 43.91%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 311.22%
Exactly 51.09%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 070.72%
Exactly 124.50%
Exactly 24.24%
Exactly 30.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 035.02%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals2.87%
Wins by 3+ goals0.55%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals48.06%
Wins by 3+ goals26.65%
Wins by 4+ goals12.34%
Wins by 5+ goals4.84%
Wins by 6+ goals1.62%
Wins by 7+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal7.79%
Wins by 2 goals2.32%
Wins by 3 goals0.49%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals21.42%
Wins by 3 goals14.31%
Wins by 4 goals7.50%
Wins by 5 goals3.22%
Wins by 6 goals1.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.09%4.91%
1.580.30%19.70%
2.558.00%42.00%
3.535.60%64.40%
4.518.71%81.29%
5.58.54%91.46%
6.53.42%96.58%
7.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.552.68%47.32%
1.517.27%82.73%
2.54.03%95.97%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.63%10.37%
1.566.12%33.88%
2.539.49%60.51%
3.519.38%80.62%
4.57.98%92.02%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.23%24.77%
1.540.66%59.34%
2.516.54%83.46%
3.55.32%94.68%
4.51.41%98.59%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
4.91%
11.12%
12.60%
9.52%
5.39%
2.44%
1
3.67%
8.32%
9.43%
7.12%
4.03%
1.83%
2
1.37%
3.11%
3.53%
2.66%
1.51%
0.68%
3
0.34%
0.78%
0.88%
0.66%
0.38%
0.17%
Braga
1-03.67%
2-01.37%
2-13.11%
3-00.34%
3-10.78%
3-20.88%
Draw
0-04.91%
1-18.32%
2-23.53%
3-30.66%
Porto
0-111.12%
0-212.60%
1-29.43%
0-39.52%
1-37.12%
2-32.66%
0-45.39%
1-44.03%
2-41.51%
3-40.38%
0-52.44%
1-51.83%
2-50.68%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
24.77%
25.99%
13.63%
4.77%
1.25%
0.26%
1
8.58%
9.00%
4.72%
1.65%
0.43%
0.09%
2
1.49%
1.56%
0.82%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.17%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-08.58%
2-01.49%
2-11.56%
3-00.17%
3-10.18%
Draw
0-024.77%
1-19.00%
2-20.82%
Porto
0-125.99%
0-213.63%
1-24.72%
0-34.77%
1-31.65%
2-30.29%
0-41.25%
1-40.43%
0-50.26%