Paços at Chaves

Updated

Pacos

27.5%28.1%44.4%
Paços WinDrawChaves Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 2

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Sporting CP+875
W 2-1 at FC Vizela+335
L 2-0 vs Porto+1030
L 1-3 at Maritimo+250
L 3-1 vs Famalicao+180
Chaves
Money Line
W 2-1 at Famalicao+370
W 0-1 vs Casa Pia AC+155
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+190
W 0-1 vs Benfica+1000
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+341+232+240+240+247+240+247+256.7
Chaves-112+122+110+115+121+115+122+125.6
Draw+250+247+245+245+247+245+247+261.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+250----+250+250+256.7
Chaves+115----+115+115+125.6
Draw+235----+235+235+261.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Chaves: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 10.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +268 to +235
Chaves ML moved from +117 to +110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Paços: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 10.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paços ML
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½-113o2½-112o2½-112o2½-110o2½-112o2½-110o2½-102
Underu2½-142u2½-103u2½-108u2½-108u2½-105u2½-108u2½-103u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-102
Under-----u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-123 to o2½-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.36%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 411.41%
Exactly 61.96%
Exactly 80.18%
 
Exactly 123.48%
Exactly 320.13%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 70.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 038.17%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.68%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 027.13%
Exactly 135.39%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 310.04%
Exactly 43.27%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.00%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 41.77%
 
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 064.02%
Exactly 128.55%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 054.67%
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 29.97%
Exactly 32.01%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals9.78%
Wins by 3+ goals2.62%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals20.39%
Wins by 3+ goals7.26%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Chaves
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal17.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.16%
Wins by 3 goals2.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal23.97%
Wins by 2 goals13.13%
Wins by 3 goals5.20%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.64%10.36%
1.566.16%33.84%
2.539.54%60.46%
3.519.41%80.59%
4.58.00%92.00%
5.52.83%97.17%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.83%38.17%
1.525.07%74.93%
2.57.37%92.63%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.87%27.13%
1.537.47%62.53%
2.514.39%85.61%
3.54.35%95.65%
4.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.00%35.00%
1.528.26%71.74%
2.58.97%91.03%
3.52.22%97.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Chaves
Score012345
0
10.36%
13.51%
8.81%
3.83%
1.25%
0.33%
1
9.97%
13.01%
8.49%
3.69%
1.20%
0.31%
2
4.80%
6.27%
4.09%
1.78%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.54%
2.01%
1.31%
0.57%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.37%
0.48%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Pacos
1-09.97%
2-04.80%
2-16.27%
3-01.54%
3-12.01%
3-21.31%
4-00.37%
4-10.48%
4-20.32%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.36%
1-113.01%
2-24.09%
3-30.57%
Chaves
0-113.51%
0-28.81%
1-28.49%
0-33.83%
1-33.69%
2-31.78%
0-41.25%
1-41.20%
2-40.58%
3-40.19%
0-50.33%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Chaves
Score01234
0
35.00%
21.14%
6.38%
1.28%
0.19%
1
15.61%
9.43%
2.85%
0.57%
0.09%
2
3.48%
2.10%
0.63%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.52%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-015.61%
2-03.48%
2-12.10%
3-00.52%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-035.00%
1-19.43%
2-20.63%
Chaves
0-121.14%
0-26.38%
1-22.85%
0-31.28%
1-30.57%
2-30.13%
0-40.19%
Boavista at Gil Vicente FC
Famalicão at FC Vizela