Tondela at Braga

Updated

Tondela

14.7%12.5%72.9%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.64
1Final Score 3

Braga

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Estoril+215
L 1-2 at Benfica+2500
L 3-0 vs Portimonense+180
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+200
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara+215
Braga
Money Line
T 0-0 at Pacos-125
T 0-0 vs Vitoria-125
W 3-2 at Moreirense-150
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+195
W 2-0 at Maritimo-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+825+775+850+922+831+850+922+954.8
Braga-335-325-340-321-336-340-321-282.7
Draw+425+425+475+482+450+475+482+500.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+875----+900+900+954.8
Braga-315-----360-360-282.7
Draw+425----+500+500+500.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +937 to +926
Braga ML moved from -315 to -325

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +860 to +850
Braga ML moved from -350 to -360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3-108o3-109o3-104-o3-109o3-104o3+102
Underu2¾-105u3-112u3-111u3-108-u3-111u3-108u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-118 to o3-112
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.3%
 
No61.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.19%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 417.69%
Exactly 65.94%
Exactly 81.07%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.28%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 511.23%
Exactly 72.69%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 058.78%
Exactly 131.23%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 07.12%
Exactly 118.81%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 414.46%
Exactly 57.64%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 80.42%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.01%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.81%
Exactly 312.16%
Exactly 51.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 078.19%
Exactly 119.24%
Exactly 22.37%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 029.42%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals1.07%
Wins by 3+ goals0.16%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals61.33%
Wins by 3+ goals38.57%
Wins by 4+ goals20.50%
Wins by 5+ goals9.31%
Wins by 6+ goals3.66%
Wins by 7+ goals1.25%
Wins by 8+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal4.19%
Wins by 2 goals0.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.87%
Wins by 2 goals22.77%
Wins by 3 goals18.07%
Wins by 4 goals11.19%
Wins by 5 goals5.65%
Wins by 6 goals2.41%
Wins by 7 goals0.89%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.81%4.19%
1.582.53%17.47%
2.561.46%38.54%
3.539.16%60.84%
4.521.47%78.53%
5.510.24%89.76%
6.54.30%95.70%
7.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.22%58.78%
1.59.98%90.02%
2.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.88%7.12%
1.574.07%25.93%
2.549.21%50.79%
3.527.32%72.68%
4.512.86%87.14%
5.55.22%94.78%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.99%23.01%
1.543.19%56.81%
2.518.35%81.65%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Braga
Score012345
0
4.19%
11.06%
14.61%
12.87%
8.50%
4.49%
1
2.22%
5.88%
7.76%
6.84%
4.52%
2.39%
2
0.59%
1.56%
2.06%
1.82%
1.20%
0.63%
3
0.10%
0.28%
0.37%
0.32%
0.21%
0.11%
Tondela
1-02.22%
2-00.59%
2-11.56%
3-00.10%
3-10.28%
3-20.37%
Draw
0-04.19%
1-15.88%
2-22.06%
3-30.32%
Braga
0-111.06%
0-214.61%
1-27.76%
0-312.87%
1-36.84%
2-31.82%
0-48.50%
1-44.52%
2-41.20%
3-40.21%
0-54.49%
1-52.39%
2-50.63%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Braga
Score0123456
0
23.01%
28.15%
17.22%
7.02%
2.15%
0.53%
0.11%
1
5.66%
6.92%
4.24%
1.73%
0.53%
0.13%
0.03%
2
0.70%
0.85%
0.52%
0.21%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Tondela
1-05.66%
2-00.70%
2-10.85%
Draw
0-023.01%
1-16.92%
2-20.52%
Braga
0-128.15%
0-217.22%
1-24.24%
0-37.02%
1-31.73%
2-30.21%
0-42.15%
1-40.53%
0-50.53%
1-50.13%
0-60.11%
Boavista at Benfica
Marítimo at Sporting CP