Benfica at Vitória

Updated

Benfica

61.8%21.6%16.6%
Benfica WinDrawWin
1.92Projected Goals 0.88
2Final Score 2

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-725
W 4-1 at Estrela-415
W 0-2 vs Boavista-850
W 1-4 vs Rio Ave-625
W 3-0 at Arouca-240
Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-0 at FC Vizela-110
L 0-1 at Gil Vicente FC+120
W 0-3 vs Estrela-185
W 1-2 vs Arouca-120
T 1-1 at Braga+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-150-150-155-170-159-160-150-141.4
Vitória+400+418+400+450+445+440+445+467.3
Draw+285+305+290+320+309+300+309+320.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-170-----175-175-141.4
Vitória+460----+460+460+467.3
Draw+310----+325+325+320.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -158 to -164
Vitória ML moved from +433 to +418

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Vitória: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -160 to -170
Vitória ML moved from +445 to +425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o3+117o2¾-108o2¾-105o2¾-109o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾+104
Underu2¾-122u3-139u2¾-112u2¾-115u2¾-109u2¾-115u3-139u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-105 to o2¾-105
The Under moved from u2½+112 to u2¼-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.10%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 415.55%
Exactly 64.06%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.06%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.70%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 014.66%
Exactly 128.15%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.29%
Exactly 48.30%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 041.60%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 216.00%
Exactly 34.68%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.39%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 041.11%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.24%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 066.63%
Exactly 127.05%
Exactly 25.49%
Exactly 30.74%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals37.00%
Wins by 3+ goals17.96%
Wins by 4+ goals7.18%
Wins by 5+ goals2.39%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals5.22%
Wins by 3+ goals1.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Vitoria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.76%
Wins by 2 goals19.04%
Wins by 3 goals10.78%
Wins by 4 goals4.79%
Wins by 5 goals1.74%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal11.31%
Wins by 2 goals3.97%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.90%6.10%
1.576.84%23.16%
2.552.98%47.02%
3.530.74%69.26%
4.515.18%84.82%
5.56.48%93.52%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.34%14.66%
1.557.19%42.81%
2.530.16%69.84%
3.512.87%87.13%
4.54.57%95.43%
5.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.40%41.60%
1.521.91%78.09%
2.55.91%94.09%
3.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.61%27.39%
1.537.14%62.86%
2.514.17%85.83%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Vitoria
Score01234
0
6.10%
5.35%
2.35%
0.69%
0.15%
1
11.71%
10.27%
4.50%
1.32%
0.29%
2
11.24%
9.86%
4.32%
1.26%
0.28%
3
7.19%
6.31%
2.77%
0.81%
0.18%
4
3.45%
3.03%
1.33%
0.39%
0.09%
5
1.33%
1.16%
0.51%
0.15%
0.03%
Benfica
1-011.71%
2-011.24%
2-19.86%
3-07.19%
3-16.31%
3-22.77%
4-03.45%
4-13.03%
4-21.33%
4-30.39%
5-01.33%
5-11.16%
5-20.51%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-06.10%
1-110.27%
2-24.32%
3-30.81%
Vitoria
0-15.35%
0-22.35%
1-24.50%
0-30.69%
1-31.32%
2-31.26%
0-40.15%
1-40.29%
2-40.28%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Vitoria
Score0123
0
27.39%
11.12%
2.26%
0.31%
1
24.35%
9.89%
2.01%
0.27%
2
10.82%
4.39%
0.89%
0.12%
3
3.21%
1.30%
0.26%
0.04%
4
0.71%
0.29%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-024.35%
2-010.82%
2-14.39%
3-03.21%
3-11.30%
3-20.26%
4-00.71%
4-10.29%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-027.39%
1-19.89%
2-20.89%
Vitoria
0-111.12%
0-22.26%
1-22.01%
0-30.31%
1-30.27%
2-30.12%