Vitória at Estrela

Updated

Vitoria

33.2%28.9%37.9%
Vitória WinDrawEstrela Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 0

Estrela

Last Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 0-3 at Porto+1185
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-135
W 1-0 at Rio Ave+140
W 0-3 vs FC Vizela+135
W 2-1 at Maritimo+200
Estrela
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+165-+195+203+195+203+203+218.4
Estrela+180-+150+148+144+148+150+160.6
Draw+205-+210+215+221+215+221+231.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+190----+205+205+218.4
Estrela+150----+145+145+160.6
Draw+225----+220+220+231.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +180 to +170
Estrela ML moved from +154 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Estrela ML moved from +160 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼-108o2¼-115o2¼-106o2¼-115o2¼-106o2¼-104
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-112u2¼-105u2¼-114u2¼-105u2¼-105u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.76%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.99%
Exactly 319.87%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 034.37%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.60%
Exactly 36.98%
Exactly 41.86%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 031.31%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.62%
Exactly 218.98%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 060.99%
Exactly 130.16%
Exactly 27.46%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 058.41%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals12.90%
Wins by 3+ goals3.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals15.86%
Wins by 3+ goals5.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.30%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals10.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.80%
Wins by 4 goals1.04%
Wins by 5 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.24%10.76%
1.565.25%34.75%
2.538.51%61.49%
3.518.64%81.36%
4.57.57%92.43%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.63%34.37%
1.528.92%71.08%
2.59.32%90.68%
3.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.69%31.31%
1.532.34%67.66%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.38%35.62%
1.527.61%72.39%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Estrela
Score012345
0
10.76%
12.50%
7.26%
2.81%
0.82%
0.19%
1
11.49%
13.35%
7.75%
3.00%
0.87%
0.20%
2
6.14%
7.13%
4.14%
1.60%
0.47%
0.11%
3
2.18%
2.54%
1.47%
0.57%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.58%
0.68%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-011.49%
2-06.14%
2-17.13%
3-02.18%
3-12.54%
3-21.47%
4-00.58%
4-10.68%
4-20.39%
4-30.15%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-010.76%
1-113.35%
2-24.14%
3-30.57%
Estrela
0-112.50%
0-27.26%
1-27.75%
0-32.81%
1-33.00%
2-31.60%
0-40.82%
1-40.87%
2-40.47%
3-40.17%
0-50.19%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Estrela
Score01234
0
35.62%
19.15%
5.15%
0.92%
0.12%
1
17.61%
9.47%
2.55%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.36%
2.34%
0.63%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.72%
0.39%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-017.61%
2-04.36%
2-12.34%
3-00.72%
3-10.39%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-035.62%
1-19.47%
2-20.63%
Estrela
0-119.15%
0-25.15%
1-22.55%
0-30.92%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.12%