SC Farense at Estrela

Updated

SC Farense

20.9%25.8%53.3%
SC Farense WinDrawEstrela Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.53
1Final Score 0

Estrela

Last 5 Games

SC Farense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC+145
L 2-3 at Benfica+1700
L 1-0 vs Braga+310
T 2-2 at Estoril+240
L 1-0 vs AVS+125
Estrela
Money Line
W 1-0 at Nacional+295
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+940
L 0-2 at Vitoria+630
T 1-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+175
T 1-1 at Moreirense+365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+188-+185+178+198+178+198+200.8
Estrela+154-+155+147+152+147+155+167.3
Draw+195-+200+215+205+215+215+240.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+180----+190+190+200.8
Estrela+180----+165+165+167.3
Draw+200----+205+205+240.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 0.0%
Estrela: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +183 to +177
Estrela ML moved from +170 to +160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 0.0%
Estrela: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +175 to +165
Estrela ML moved from +190 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-108-o2-125o2-137o2-127o2-137o2-125o2-125
Underu2-112-u2+105u2+117u2+105u2+117u2+117u2+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-125
Under-----u2+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.26%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.36%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.04%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 042.76%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 021.67%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 312.92%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.24%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 049.26%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 212.35%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals6.63%
Wins by 3+ goals1.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals27.60%
Wins by 3+ goals11.24%
Wins by 4+ goals3.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.95%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

SC Farense
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal14.22%
Wins by 2 goals5.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals16.36%
Wins by 3 goals7.57%
Wins by 4 goals2.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.79%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.74%9.26%
1.568.70%31.30%
2.542.48%57.52%
3.521.69%78.31%
4.59.33%90.67%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.24%42.76%
1.520.91%79.09%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.33%21.67%
1.545.20%54.80%
2.519.86%80.14%
3.56.94%93.06%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.76%33.24%
1.530.15%69.85%
2.59.99%90.01%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

SC Farense
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.26%
14.17%
10.84%
5.52%
2.11%
0.65%
1
7.87%
12.04%
9.21%
4.69%
1.79%
0.55%
2
3.34%
5.11%
3.91%
1.99%
0.76%
0.23%
3
0.95%
1.45%
1.11%
0.56%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.20%
0.31%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
SC Farense
1-07.87%
2-03.34%
2-15.11%
3-00.95%
3-11.45%
3-21.11%
4-00.20%
4-10.31%
4-20.24%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.26%
1-112.04%
2-23.91%
3-30.56%
Estrela
0-114.17%
0-210.84%
1-29.21%
0-35.52%
1-34.69%
2-31.99%
0-42.11%
1-41.79%
2-40.76%
3-40.22%
0-50.65%
1-50.55%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

SC Farense
Estrela
Score01234
0
33.24%
23.54%
8.33%
1.97%
0.35%
1
13.07%
9.26%
3.28%
0.77%
0.14%
2
2.57%
1.82%
0.64%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
SC Farense
1-013.07%
2-02.57%
2-11.82%
3-00.34%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-033.24%
1-19.26%
2-20.64%
Estrela
0-123.54%
0-28.33%
1-23.28%
0-31.97%
1-30.77%
2-30.15%
0-40.35%
1-40.14%