Chaves at Porto

Updated

Chaves

3.4%9.1%87.5%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.50Projected Goals 3.07
0Final Score 3

Porto

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+135
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+1500
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela+140
W 2-1 at Maritimo+260
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+165
Porto
Money Line
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-340
L 1-3 at Rio Ave-315
W 0-3 vs Sporting CP-105
W 1-0 at FC Vizela-330
W 1-5 vs Maritimo-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1196+1337+1100+950+1225+950+1337+1477.4
Porto-422-430-460-476-499-476-430-389.0
Draw+547+529+500+520+560+520+560+608.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1550----+1600+1600+1477.4
Porto-550-----600-600-389.0
Draw+580----+650+650+608.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +1409 to +1337
Porto ML moved from -500 to -550

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +1800 to +1600
Porto ML moved from -550 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-134o3¼+100o3¼+102-o3¼+102o3¼+102o3-113
Underu3-108u3+114u3¼-120u3¼-122-u3¼-122u3+114u3+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-113
Under-----u3+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾+124 to o3+100
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-144

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.80%
Exactly 217.91%
Exactly 419.07%
Exactly 68.12%
Exactly 81.85%
Exactly 100.26%
 
Exactly 110.02%
Exactly 321.34%
Exactly 513.63%
Exactly 74.15%
Exactly 90.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 060.70%
Exactly 130.30%
Exactly 27.57%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 04.62%
Exactly 114.20%
Exactly 221.84%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 417.21%
Exactly 510.58%
Exactly 65.42%
Exactly 72.38%
Exactly 80.92%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.11%
Exactly 226.17%
Exactly 45.97%
Exactly 60.55%
 
Exactly 131.63%
Exactly 314.44%
Exactly 51.98%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 079.36%
Exactly 118.35%
Exactly 22.12%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 024.08%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 311.58%
Exactly 44.12%
Exactly 51.17%
Exactly 60.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals0.65%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals70.18%
Wins by 3+ goals48.70%
Wins by 4+ goals29.03%
Wins by 5+ goals14.93%
Wins by 6+ goals6.67%
Wins by 7+ goals2.59%
Wins by 8+ goals0.84%
Wins by 9+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal2.78%
Wins by 2 goals0.56%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal17.17%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals19.67%
Wins by 4 goals14.09%
Wins by 5 goals8.26%
Wins by 6 goals4.09%
Wins by 7 goals1.75%
Wins by 8 goals0.65%
Wins by 9 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.20%2.80%
1.587.17%12.83%
2.569.27%30.73%
3.547.93%52.07%
4.528.86%71.14%
5.515.23%84.77%
6.57.12%92.88%
7.52.97%97.03%
8.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.30%60.70%
1.59.00%91.00%
2.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.38%4.62%
1.581.18%18.82%
2.559.34%40.66%
3.536.95%63.05%
4.519.75%80.25%
5.59.17%90.83%
6.53.74%96.26%
7.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.89%19.11%
1.549.26%50.74%
2.523.09%76.91%
3.58.66%91.34%
4.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Porto
Score012345
0
2.80%
8.62%
13.26%
13.59%
10.44%
6.42%
1
1.40%
4.30%
6.62%
6.78%
5.21%
3.21%
2
0.35%
1.07%
1.65%
1.69%
1.30%
0.80%
Chaves
1-01.40%
2-00.35%
2-11.07%
Draw
0-02.80%
1-14.30%
2-21.65%
3-30.28%
Porto
0-18.62%
0-213.26%
1-26.62%
0-313.59%
1-36.78%
2-31.69%
0-410.44%
1-45.21%
2-41.30%
3-40.22%
0-56.42%
1-53.21%
2-50.80%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Porto
Score0123456
0
19.11%
27.21%
19.37%
9.19%
3.27%
0.93%
0.22%
1
4.42%
6.29%
4.48%
2.12%
0.76%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.51%
0.73%
0.52%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Chaves
1-04.42%
2-00.51%
2-10.73%
Draw
0-019.11%
1-16.29%
2-20.52%
Porto
0-127.21%
0-219.37%
1-24.48%
0-39.19%
1-32.12%
2-30.25%
0-43.27%
1-40.76%
0-50.93%
1-50.22%
0-60.22%
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