Chaves at Paços

Updated

Chaves

25.4%27.3%47.2%
Chaves WinDrawPaços Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 1

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Famalicao+155
W 2-1 at Casa Pia AC+260
T 0-0 vs Santa Clara+140
L 0-5 at Benfica+2000
W 1-3 vs Gil Vicente FC+165
Pacos
Money Line
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1600
L 2-0 vs FC Vizela+230
L 0-4 at Porto+2250
L 1-0 vs Maritimo+125
L 1-2 at Famalicao+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+135+172+165+159+180+159+180+187.1
Paços+200+175+170+162+176+162+176+183.0
Draw+215+225+215+220+227+220+227+235.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+155----+165+165+187.1
Paços+185----+180+180+183.0
Draw+225----+215+215+235.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Paços: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +168 to +162
Paços ML moved from +180 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Paços: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
Paços ML moved from +190 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+112o2¼-115o2¼-112o2-156o2¼-112o2-148o2-147
Underu2¼-115u2½-132u2¼-105u2¼-108u2+141u2¼-108u2½-132u2+147
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-147
Under-----u2+147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.84%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 411.85%
Exactly 62.13%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.81%
Exactly 320.45%
Exactly 55.50%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 039.21%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 35.36%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 025.09%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 311.06%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.17%
Exactly 219.70%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.05%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 064.82%
Exactly 128.10%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 052.72%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.80%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals8.79%
Wins by 3+ goals2.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals22.64%
Wins by 3+ goals8.46%
Wins by 4+ goals2.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Pacos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal16.61%
Wins by 2 goals6.50%
Wins by 3 goals1.84%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals14.18%
Wins by 3 goals5.93%
Wins by 4 goals1.93%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.16%9.84%
1.567.35%32.65%
2.540.90%59.10%
3.520.46%79.54%
4.58.60%91.40%
5.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.79%39.21%
1.524.08%75.92%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.91%25.09%
1.540.22%59.78%
2.516.24%83.76%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.83%34.17%
1.529.13%70.87%
2.59.44%90.56%
3.52.38%97.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Pacos
Score012345
0
9.84%
13.60%
9.40%
4.33%
1.50%
0.41%
1
9.21%
12.74%
8.81%
4.06%
1.40%
0.39%
2
4.31%
5.96%
4.12%
1.90%
0.66%
0.18%
3
1.35%
1.86%
1.29%
0.59%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.31%
0.44%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Chaves
1-09.21%
2-04.31%
2-15.96%
3-01.35%
3-11.86%
3-21.29%
4-00.31%
4-10.44%
4-20.30%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.84%
1-112.74%
2-24.12%
3-30.59%
Pacos
0-113.60%
0-29.40%
1-28.81%
0-34.33%
1-34.06%
2-31.90%
0-41.50%
1-41.40%
2-40.66%
3-40.21%
0-50.41%
1-50.39%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Pacos
Score01234
0
34.17%
21.88%
7.00%
1.49%
0.24%
1
14.81%
9.48%
3.04%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.21%
2.06%
0.66%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.30%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-014.81%
2-03.21%
2-12.06%
3-00.46%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-034.17%
1-19.48%
2-20.66%
Pacos
0-121.88%
0-27.00%
1-23.04%
0-31.49%
1-30.65%
2-30.14%
0-40.24%
1-40.10%