Paços at Estoril

Updated

Pacos

20.3%25.6%54.0%
Paços WinDrawEstoril Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.55
3Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Pacos
Money Line
L 0-1 at Portimonense+230
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+210
L 2-0 vs Benfica+1500
L 2-1 vs Braga+720
W 1-0 at Rio Ave+345
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+215
W 1-2 vs Boavista+180
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+170
L 0-1 at Famalicao+330
L 0-1 at Maritimo+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+300+288+275+322+311+322+322+342.9
Estoril-105+109+110+100+103+100+110+109.9
Draw+230+229+210+220+228+220+229+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Paços+310----+290+290+342.9
Estoril+100----+105+105+109.9
Draw+225----+225+225+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 20.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +291 to +285
Estoril ML moved from +120 to +112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Paços: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Paços: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Paços ML moved from +310 to +280
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+123o2¼-105o2¼-104o2-140o2¼-104o2-140o2¼+105
Underu2¼-105u2½-145u2¼-115u2¼-116u2+125u2¼-116u2½-145u2¼-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+105
Under-----u2¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.23%
Exactly 226.20%
Exactly 412.40%
Exactly 62.35%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.99%
Exactly 320.81%
Exactly 55.91%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 043.28%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 021.32%
Exactly 132.95%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 313.12%
Exactly 45.07%
Exactly 51.57%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.18%
Exactly 220.19%
Exactly 42.05%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.43%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 067.86%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 048.89%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.52%
Exactly 32.99%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals6.38%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals28.20%
Wins by 3+ goals11.59%
Wins by 4+ goals3.82%
Wins by 5+ goals1.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Pacos
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal13.93%
Wins by 2 goals4.88%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.71%
Wins by 2 goals16.61%
Wins by 3 goals7.77%
Wins by 4 goals2.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.77%9.23%
1.568.78%31.22%
2.542.58%57.42%
3.521.77%78.23%
4.59.37%90.63%
5.53.47%96.53%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.72%43.28%
1.520.48%79.52%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.68%21.32%
1.545.73%54.27%
2.520.26%79.74%
3.57.15%92.85%
4.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.82%33.18%
1.530.22%69.78%
2.510.03%89.97%
3.52.60%97.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paços
Estoril
Score012345
0
9.23%
14.26%
11.02%
5.68%
2.19%
0.68%
1
7.73%
11.94%
9.23%
4.75%
1.84%
0.57%
2
3.24%
5.00%
3.86%
1.99%
0.77%
0.24%
3
0.90%
1.40%
1.08%
0.56%
0.21%
0.07%
4
0.19%
0.29%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Pacos
1-07.73%
2-03.24%
2-15.00%
3-00.90%
3-11.40%
3-21.08%
4-00.19%
4-10.29%
4-20.23%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.23%
1-111.94%
2-23.86%
3-30.56%
Estoril
0-114.26%
0-211.02%
1-29.23%
0-35.68%
1-34.75%
2-31.99%
0-42.19%
1-41.84%
2-40.77%
3-40.21%
0-50.68%
1-50.57%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Paços
Estoril
Score01234
0
33.18%
23.74%
8.49%
2.03%
0.36%
1
12.87%
9.21%
3.29%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.49%
1.78%
0.64%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.32%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Pacos
1-012.87%
2-02.49%
2-11.78%
3-00.32%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-033.18%
1-19.21%
2-20.64%
Estoril
0-123.74%
0-28.49%
1-23.29%
0-32.03%
1-30.79%
2-30.15%
0-40.36%
1-40.14%