Arouca at Porto

Updated

Arouca

4.4%10.7%84.9%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.53Projected Goals 2.86
1Final Score 5

Porto

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+305
W 0-1 vs Sporting CP+440
T 1-1 at Maritimo+200
W 1-4 vs Famalicao+175
Porto
Money Line
W 4-1 at Boavista-400
W 0-4 vs Pacos-900
T 1-1 at Santa Clara-320
L 1-0 vs Benfica+130
W 2-0 at Portimonense-280

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1700-+1700+1200+1576+1200+1700+1629.7
Porto-725--800-625-615-625-615-500.4
Draw+675-+750+620+791+620+791+819.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1700----+1600+1600+1629.7
Porto-650-----670-670-500.4
Draw+675----+715+715+819.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1628 to +1576
Porto ML moved from -602 to -615

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1800 to +1600
Porto ML moved from -700 to -720

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102o3½+117o3¼-112o3¼-114o3-143o3¼-114o3-143o3-134
Underu3¼-118u3½-139u3¼-108u3¼-106u3+128u3¼-106u3+128u3+134
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-134
Under-----u3+134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.5%
 
No61.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.39%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 418.53%
Exactly 67.08%
Exactly 81.45%
Exactly 100.18%
 
Exactly 111.47%
Exactly 321.90%
Exactly 512.55%
Exactly 73.42%
Exactly 90.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 059.15%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.73%
Exactly 116.38%
Exactly 223.42%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.97%
Exactly 59.13%
Exactly 64.35%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.86%
Exactly 225.62%
Exactly 45.25%
Exactly 60.43%
 
Exactly 132.69%
Exactly 313.39%
Exactly 51.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 078.42%
Exactly 119.07%
Exactly 22.32%
Exactly 30.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.60%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 310.30%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.87%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals65.78%
Wins by 3+ goals43.55%
Wins by 4+ goals24.58%
Wins by 5+ goals11.92%
Wins by 6+ goals5.01%
Wins by 7+ goals1.82%
Wins by 8+ goals0.56%
Wins by 9+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal3.49%
Wins by 2 goals0.74%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal19.03%
Wins by 2 goals22.23%
Wins by 3 goals18.98%
Wins by 4 goals12.66%
Wins by 5 goals6.91%
Wins by 6 goals3.18%
Wins by 7 goals1.27%
Wins by 8 goals0.44%
Wins by 9 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.61%3.39%
1.585.15%14.85%
2.565.74%34.26%
3.543.84%56.16%
4.525.31%74.69%
5.512.76%87.24%
6.55.68%94.32%
7.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.85%59.15%
1.59.79%90.21%
2.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.27%5.73%
1.577.90%22.10%
2.554.48%45.52%
3.532.15%67.85%
4.516.18%83.82%
5.57.05%92.95%
6.52.69%97.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.14%20.86%
1.546.45%53.55%
2.520.82%79.18%
3.57.44%92.56%
4.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Porto
Score012345
0
3.39%
9.69%
13.85%
13.21%
9.44%
5.40%
1
1.78%
5.09%
7.27%
6.94%
4.96%
2.84%
2
0.47%
1.34%
1.91%
1.82%
1.30%
0.74%
Arouca
1-01.78%
2-00.47%
2-11.34%
Draw
0-03.39%
1-15.09%
2-21.91%
3-30.32%
Porto
0-19.69%
0-213.85%
1-27.27%
0-313.21%
1-36.94%
2-31.82%
0-49.44%
1-44.96%
2-41.30%
3-40.23%
0-55.40%
1-52.84%
2-50.74%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Porto
Score0123456
0
20.86%
27.62%
18.29%
8.07%
2.67%
0.71%
0.16%
1
5.07%
6.72%
4.45%
1.96%
0.65%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.62%
0.82%
0.54%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.07%
2-00.62%
2-10.82%
Draw
0-020.86%
1-16.72%
2-20.54%
Porto
0-127.62%
0-218.29%
1-24.45%
0-38.07%
1-31.96%
2-30.24%
0-42.67%
1-40.65%
0-50.71%
1-50.17%
0-60.16%
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