Porto at Nacional

Updated

Porto

75.7%11.9%12.4%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.59Projected Goals 0.43
1Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 2-0 at Tondela-290
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara-350
W 2-1 at Portimonense-235
W 0-2 vs Pacos-260
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-245
Nacional
Money Line
L 1-5 at Santa Clara+410
L 5-1 vs Portimonense+190
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+310
L 2-1 vs Maritimo+200
L 1-2 at Pacos+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-286-476-475-526-474-526-474-
Nacional+790+1276+1200+1200+1237+1200+1276-
Draw+340+556+525+520+534+520+556-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-315-----475-475-
Nacional+935----+1200+1200-
Draw+415----+575+575-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -526 to -556
Nacional ML moved from +1300 to +1200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Nacional: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -450 to -475
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o3-115o3-110o3-118-o3-118o3-110-
Underu2½+104u3-106u3-110u3-102-u3-102u3-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes32.1%
 
No67.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.86%
Exactly 222.23%
Exactly 416.93%
Exactly 65.16%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.70%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.24%
Exactly 72.23%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 07.45%
Exactly 119.34%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 414.12%
Exactly 57.34%
Exactly 63.18%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 065.29%
Exactly 127.84%
Exactly 25.93%
Exactly 30.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.66%
Exactly 224.17%
Exactly 43.95%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.52%
Exactly 311.28%
Exactly 51.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 030.04%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 082.09%
Exactly 116.20%
Exactly 21.60%
Exactly 30.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals62.81%
Wins by 3+ goals39.46%
Wins by 4+ goals20.87%
Wins by 5+ goals9.41%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals0.67%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Porto
Wins by 1 goal21.03%
Wins by 2 goals23.35%
Wins by 3 goals18.59%
Wins by 4 goals11.46%
Wins by 5 goals5.75%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal3.43%
Wins by 2 goals0.61%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.14%4.86%
1.580.44%19.56%
2.558.21%41.79%
3.535.81%64.19%
4.518.87%81.13%
5.58.63%91.37%
6.53.47%96.53%
7.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.55%7.45%
1.573.21%26.79%
2.548.09%51.91%
3.526.34%73.66%
4.512.22%87.78%
5.54.88%95.12%
6.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.534.71%65.29%
1.56.88%93.12%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.34%24.66%
1.540.82%59.18%
2.516.65%83.35%
3.55.37%94.63%
4.51.43%98.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Nacional
Score012
0
4.86%
2.07%
0.44%
1
12.63%
5.38%
1.15%
2
16.40%
6.99%
1.49%
3
14.20%
6.05%
1.29%
4
9.22%
3.93%
0.84%
5
4.79%
2.04%
0.44%
Porto
1-012.63%
2-016.40%
2-16.99%
3-014.20%
3-16.05%
3-21.29%
4-09.22%
4-13.93%
4-20.84%
4-30.12%
5-04.79%
5-12.04%
5-20.44%
Draw
0-04.86%
1-15.38%
2-21.49%
3-30.18%
Nacional
0-12.07%
0-20.44%
1-21.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Nacional
Score012
0
24.66%
4.87%
0.48%
1
29.66%
5.85%
0.58%
2
17.83%
3.52%
0.35%
3
7.15%
1.41%
0.14%
4
2.15%
0.42%
0.04%
5
0.52%
0.10%
0.01%
6
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-029.66%
2-017.83%
2-13.52%
3-07.15%
3-11.41%
3-20.14%
4-02.15%
4-10.42%
5-00.52%
5-10.10%
6-00.10%
Draw
0-024.66%
1-15.85%
2-20.35%
Nacional
0-14.87%
0-20.48%
1-20.58%