Akhmat Grozny at Samara

Updated

Akhmat Grozny

28.3%27.8%43.9%
Akhmat Grozny WinDrawSamara Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.32
2Final Score 0

Samara

Last 5 Games

Akhmat Grozny
Money Line
W 1-0 at Krasnodar
W 1-5 vs Nizhny Novgorod
W 0-1 vs Sochi
W 2-1 at CSKA Moscow
L 2-0 vs Loko Moscow
Samara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Orenburg
T 0-0 vs Krasnodar
W 0-2 vs Rubin Kazan
W 2-1 at Ural
T 1-1 vs Zenit

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Akhmat Grozny+238+210-+181-+181+210+205.7
Samara+111+127-+124-+124+127+143.7
Draw+270+262-+250-+250+262+280.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Akhmat Grozny-----+205.7
Samara-----+143.7
Draw-----+280.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Akhmat Grozny: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Akhmat Grozny: 0.0%
Samara: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Akhmat Grozny: 10.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Akhmat Grozny ML moved from +173 to +161
Samara ML moved from +138 to +132

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-124o2½-136-o2¾-102-o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾+107
Underu2½+106u2½+114-u2¾-118-u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.87%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 411.83%
Exactly 62.12%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.85%
Exactly 320.43%
Exactly 55.48%
Exactly 70.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Akhmat Grozny
Exactly 036.86%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 026.77%
Exactly 135.28%
Exactly 223.25%
Exactly 310.21%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.22%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 41.89%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.03%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Akhmat Grozny
Exactly 063.00%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.73%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 054.32%
Exactly 133.15%
Exactly 210.12%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Akhmat Grozny
Wins by 2+ goals10.29%
Wins by 3+ goals2.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.60%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals20.26%
Wins by 3+ goals7.25%
Wins by 4+ goals2.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Akhmat Grozny
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Akhmat Grozny
Wins by 1 goal17.91%
Wins by 2 goals7.45%
Wins by 3 goals2.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.52%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal23.65%
Wins by 2 goals13.00%
Wins by 3 goals5.18%
Wins by 4 goals1.60%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.13%9.87%
1.567.28%32.72%
2.540.82%59.18%
3.520.39%79.61%
4.58.56%91.44%
5.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals Akhmat Grozny Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.14%36.86%
1.526.35%73.65%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.23%26.77%
1.537.96%62.04%
2.514.71%85.29%
3.54.49%95.51%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.78%34.22%
1.529.08%70.92%
2.59.41%90.59%
3.52.37%97.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Akhmat Grozny
Samara
Score012345
0
9.87%
13.00%
8.57%
3.77%
1.24%
0.33%
1
9.85%
12.98%
8.55%
3.76%
1.24%
0.33%
2
4.91%
6.48%
4.27%
1.88%
0.62%
0.16%
3
1.63%
2.15%
1.42%
0.62%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.41%
0.54%
0.35%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Akhmat Grozny
1-09.85%
2-04.91%
2-16.48%
3-01.63%
3-12.15%
3-21.42%
4-00.41%
4-10.54%
4-20.35%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-09.87%
1-112.98%
2-24.27%
3-30.62%
Samara
0-113.00%
0-28.57%
1-28.55%
0-33.77%
1-33.76%
2-31.88%
0-41.24%
1-41.24%
2-40.62%
3-40.21%
0-50.33%
1-50.33%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Akhmat Grozny
Samara
Score01234
0
34.22%
20.88%
6.37%
1.30%
0.20%
1
15.81%
9.65%
2.94%
0.60%
0.09%
2
3.65%
2.23%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.56%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Akhmat Grozny
1-015.81%
2-03.65%
2-12.23%
3-00.56%
3-10.34%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.22%
1-19.65%
2-20.68%
Samara
0-120.88%
0-26.37%
1-22.94%
0-31.30%
1-30.60%
2-30.14%
0-40.20%