Rostov at Samara

Updated

Rostov

38.7%27.9%33.5%
Rostov WinDrawSamara Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.09
2Final Score 4

Samara

Last 5 Games

Rostov
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Krasnodar+270
T 1-1 at Ural+110
W 2-1 at Nizhny Novgorod+130
L 3-1 vs CSKA Moscow+255
T 1-1 at FC Khimki+160
Samara
Money Line
L 0-2 at Loko Moscow+345
W 2-1 at Ufa+190
W 0-1 vs Sochi+155
T 1-1 at Rubin Kazan+180
L 1-2 at Arsenal Tula+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rostov+175-+220+243+217+220+243+249.3
Samara+160-+136+137+135+136+137+142.5
Draw+221-+192+218+213+192+218+231.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rostov+240----+230+230+249.3
Samara+115----+135+135+142.5
Draw+240----+210+210+231.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rostov: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rostov: 30.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rostov: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rostov ML moved from +217 to +211
Samara ML moved from +141 to +134

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rostov: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rostov: 30.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rostov: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rostov ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Samara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-106-o2-119o2-116-o2-119o2-115o2¼+116
Underu2¼-114-u2-101u2+103-u2-101u2+103u2¼-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+116
Under-----u2¼-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.53%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.12%
Exactly 62.23%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.40%
Exactly 320.63%
Exactly 55.70%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Rostov
Exactly 028.37%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 39.45%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 033.60%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 219.99%
Exactly 37.27%
Exactly 41.98%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.68%
Exactly 219.94%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.24%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rostov
Exactly 055.81%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 29.49%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 060.35%
Exactly 130.48%
Exactly 27.70%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rostov
Wins by 2+ goals17.78%
Wins by 3+ goals6.10%
Wins by 4+ goals1.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals12.46%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Rostov
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Rostov
Wins by 1 goal22.38%
Wins by 2 goals11.68%
Wins by 3 goals4.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.31%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal19.38%
Wins by 2 goals8.75%
Wins by 3 goals2.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.47%9.53%
1.568.06%31.94%
2.541.73%58.27%
3.521.10%78.90%
4.58.98%91.02%
5.53.28%96.72%
6.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Rostov Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.63%28.37%
1.535.88%64.12%
2.513.37%86.63%
3.53.92%96.08%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.40%33.60%
1.529.76%70.24%
2.59.77%90.23%
3.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.32%33.68%
1.529.67%70.33%
2.59.72%90.28%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rostov
Samara
Score012345
0
9.53%
10.40%
5.67%
2.06%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.01%
13.10%
7.14%
2.60%
0.71%
0.15%
2
7.56%
8.25%
4.50%
1.64%
0.45%
0.10%
3
3.18%
3.46%
1.89%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
4
1.00%
1.09%
0.60%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.27%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Rostov
1-012.01%
2-07.56%
2-18.25%
3-03.18%
3-13.46%
3-21.89%
4-01.00%
4-11.09%
4-20.60%
4-30.22%
5-00.25%
5-10.27%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.53%
1-113.10%
2-24.50%
3-30.69%
Samara
0-110.40%
0-25.67%
1-27.14%
0-32.06%
1-32.60%
2-31.64%
0-40.56%
1-40.71%
2-40.45%
3-40.19%
0-50.12%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Rostov
Samara
Score0123
0
33.68%
17.01%
4.30%
0.72%
1
19.64%
9.92%
2.51%
0.42%
2
5.73%
2.89%
0.73%
0.12%
3
1.11%
0.56%
0.14%
0.02%
4
0.16%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Rostov
1-019.64%
2-05.73%
2-12.89%
3-01.11%
3-10.56%
3-20.14%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-033.68%
1-19.92%
2-20.73%
Samara
0-117.01%
0-24.30%
1-22.51%
0-30.72%
1-30.42%
2-30.12%