Zenit at Samara

Updated

Zenit

64.2%20.8%15.0%
Zenit WinDrawWin
1.98Projected Goals 0.83
5Final Score 1

Samara

Last 5 Games

Zenit
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Dynamo Mosc
T 0-0 at Rostov
W 2-1 at Loko Moscow
W 0-2 vs Ufa
W 2-3 vs Rubin Kazan-500
Samara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Nizhny Novgorod
T 0-0 vs FC Khimki
W 2-1 at Sochi
T 2-2 vs Arsenal Tula
W 0-2 vs Rubin Kazan+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zenit-185-132--125-129-125-125-105.8
Samara+513+377-+325+374+325+377+359.3
Draw+340+283-+245+275+245+283+272.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zenit------105.8
Samara-----+359.3
Draw-----+272.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zenit: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zenit: 30.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zenit: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zenit ML moved from -143 to -150
Samara ML moved from +325 to +315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+112o2½+105-o2½+111o2½-101o2½+111o2½+111o2½+120
Underu3-132u2½-123-u2½-131u2½-119u2½-131u2½-119u2½-120
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+120
Under-----u2½-120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.99%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 415.67%
Exactly 64.14%
Exactly 80.59%
 
Exactly 116.87%
Exactly 322.27%
Exactly 58.82%
Exactly 71.66%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Zenit
Exactly 013.80%
Exactly 127.33%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.86%
Exactly 48.84%
Exactly 53.50%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 043.43%
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 215.10%
Exactly 34.20%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.17%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 310.02%
Exactly 50.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zenit
Exactly 039.98%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.80%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 067.97%
Exactly 126.25%
Exactly 25.07%
Exactly 30.65%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zenit
Wins by 2+ goals39.31%
Wins by 3+ goals19.59%
Wins by 4+ goals8.05%
Wins by 5+ goals2.75%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals4.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Zenit
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Zenit
Wins by 1 goal24.78%
Wins by 2 goals19.72%
Wins by 3 goals11.54%
Wins by 4 goals5.30%
Wins by 5 goals1.99%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal10.43%
Wins by 2 goals3.50%
Wins by 3 goals0.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.01%5.99%
1.577.13%22.87%
2.553.39%46.61%
3.531.12%68.88%
4.515.46%84.54%
5.56.64%93.36%
6.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Zenit Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.20%13.80%
1.558.86%41.14%
2.531.80%68.20%
3.513.93%86.07%
4.55.09%94.91%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.57%43.43%
1.520.35%79.65%
2.55.24%94.76%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.83%27.17%
1.537.42%62.58%
2.514.36%85.64%
3.54.34%95.66%
4.51.08%98.92%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zenit
Samara
Score01234
0
5.99%
5.00%
2.08%
0.58%
0.12%
1
11.87%
9.90%
4.13%
1.15%
0.24%
2
11.75%
9.80%
4.09%
1.14%
0.24%
3
7.76%
6.47%
2.70%
0.75%
0.16%
4
3.84%
3.20%
1.34%
0.37%
0.08%
5
1.52%
1.27%
0.53%
0.15%
0.03%
Zenit
1-011.87%
2-011.75%
2-19.80%
3-07.76%
3-16.47%
3-22.70%
4-03.84%
4-13.20%
4-21.34%
4-30.37%
5-01.52%
5-11.27%
5-20.53%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-05.99%
1-19.90%
2-24.09%
3-30.75%
Samara
0-15.00%
0-22.08%
1-24.13%
0-30.58%
1-31.15%
2-31.14%
0-40.12%
1-40.24%
2-40.24%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Zenit
Samara
Score0123
0
27.17%
10.49%
2.03%
0.26%
1
24.91%
9.62%
1.86%
0.24%
2
11.42%
4.41%
0.85%
0.11%
3
3.49%
1.35%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.80%
0.31%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.15%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Zenit
1-024.91%
2-011.42%
2-14.41%
3-03.49%
3-11.35%
3-20.26%
4-00.80%
4-10.31%
5-00.15%
Draw
0-027.17%
1-19.62%
2-20.85%
Samara
0-110.49%
0-22.03%
1-21.86%
0-30.26%
1-30.24%
2-30.11%