Samara at Orenburg

Updated

Samara

29.5%27.7%42.7%
Samara WinDrawOrenburg Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.31
2Final Score 2

Orenburg

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
L 0-1 at Loko Moscow
T 0-0 vs FC Khimki
T 1-1 at Akhmat Grozny
W 2-0 at Rubin Kazan
L 1-0 vs FC Dynamo Makhachkala
Orenburg
Money Line
L 0-1 at Zenit
L 2-1 vs Nizhny Novgorod
T 0-0 at FC Khimki
L 4-2 vs Loko Moscow
T 2-2 vs Dynamo Mosc

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+195+174-+167-+167+174+188.5
Orenburg+135+155-+138-+138+155+157.1
Draw+268+266-+250-+250+266+278.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+188.5
Orenburg-----+157.1
Draw-----+278.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Orenburg: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +175 to +169
Orenburg ML moved from +144 to +138

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-138o3+101-o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2¾-118o2¾-107
Underu2½+115u3-120-u2¾-102-u2¾-102u3-120u2¾+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-107
Under-----u2¾+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.60%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 412.06%
Exactly 62.21%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.50%
Exactly 320.59%
Exactly 55.65%
Exactly 70.74%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 035.47%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.05%
Exactly 36.58%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 027.07%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 223.11%
Exactly 310.07%
Exactly 43.29%
Exactly 50.86%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.79%
Exactly 219.89%
Exactly 41.95%
 
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 061.89%
Exactly 129.70%
Exactly 27.13%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 054.61%
Exactly 133.04%
Exactly 29.99%
Exactly 32.02%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals11.06%
Wins by 3+ goals3.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.68%
Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals19.50%
Wins by 3+ goals6.91%
Wins by 4+ goals1.96%
Wins by 5+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Orenburg
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Samara
Wins by 1 goal18.40%
Wins by 2 goals7.92%
Wins by 3 goals2.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal23.19%
Wins by 2 goals12.59%
Wins by 3 goals4.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.40%9.60%
1.567.90%32.10%
2.541.54%58.46%
3.520.95%79.05%
4.58.89%91.11%
5.53.24%96.76%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.53%35.47%
1.527.76%72.24%
2.58.71%91.29%
3.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.93%27.07%
1.537.56%62.44%
2.514.44%85.56%
3.54.38%95.62%
4.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.21%33.79%
1.529.54%70.46%
2.59.66%90.34%
3.52.46%97.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Orenburg
Score012345
0
9.60%
12.55%
8.20%
3.57%
1.17%
0.30%
1
9.95%
13.00%
8.50%
3.70%
1.21%
0.32%
2
5.16%
6.74%
4.40%
1.92%
0.63%
0.16%
3
1.78%
2.33%
1.52%
0.66%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.46%
0.60%
0.39%
0.17%
0.06%
0.01%
Samara
1-09.95%
2-05.16%
2-16.74%
3-01.78%
3-12.33%
3-21.52%
4-00.46%
4-10.60%
4-20.39%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-09.60%
1-113.00%
2-24.40%
3-30.66%
Orenburg
0-112.55%
0-28.20%
1-28.50%
0-33.57%
1-33.70%
2-31.92%
0-41.17%
1-41.21%
2-40.63%
3-40.22%
0-50.30%
1-50.32%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Orenburg
Score01234
0
33.79%
20.45%
6.19%
1.25%
0.19%
1
16.22%
9.81%
2.97%
0.60%
0.09%
2
3.89%
2.35%
0.71%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.38%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Samara
1-016.22%
2-03.89%
2-12.35%
3-00.62%
3-10.38%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-033.79%
1-19.81%
2-20.71%
Orenburg
0-120.45%
0-26.19%
1-22.97%
0-31.25%
1-30.60%
2-30.14%
0-40.19%