Sochi at Loko Moscow

Updated

Sochi

31.6%27.2%41.2%
Sochi WinDrawLoko Moscow Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.32
0Final Score 3

Loko Moscow

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 0-1 at Akhmat Grozny
L 2-0 vs Krasnodar
L 2-1 vs Samara
W 1-0 at Rostov
W 0-2 vs Arsenal Tula-210
Loko Moscow
Money Line
W 1-5 vs FC Khimki
T 1-1 at CSKA Moscow
W 4-1 at Orenburg
L 2-1 vs Zenit
L 2-1 vs CSKA Moscow

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+356+282-+230-+230+282+259.6
Loko Moscow-135-107-+103-+103+103+121.2
Draw+305+283-+240-+240+283+270.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+259.6
Loko Moscow-----+121.2
Draw-----+270.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Loko Moscow: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 30.0%
Loko Moscow: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sochi: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 0.0%
Loko Moscow: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +282 to +273
Loko Moscow ML moved from -411 to -456

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-104o3+106-o2¾-121-o2¾-121o2¾-121o2¾-110
Underu3-114u3-126-u2¾+101-u2¾+101u3-126u2¾+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-110
Under-----u2¾+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½-135 to o4-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.65%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 412.94%
Exactly 62.58%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.17%
Exactly 321.14%
Exactly 56.33%
Exactly 70.90%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 032.51%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 42.16%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Loko Moscow
Exactly 026.61%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.32%
Exactly 310.29%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.20%
Exactly 220.68%
Exactly 42.21%
 
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 37.81%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 059.44%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 28.04%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Loko Moscow
Exactly 054.17%
Exactly 133.21%
Exactly 210.18%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals12.52%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Loko Moscow
Wins by 2+ goals18.81%
Wins by 3+ goals6.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Loko Moscow
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal18.98%
Wins by 2 goals8.72%
Wins by 3 goals2.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Loko Moscow
Wins by 1 goal22.37%
Wins by 2 goals12.11%
Wins by 3 goals4.79%
Wins by 4 goals1.48%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.35%8.65%
1.570.18%29.82%
2.544.27%55.73%
3.523.13%76.87%
4.510.19%89.81%
5.53.86%96.14%
6.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.49%32.51%
1.530.96%69.04%
2.510.44%89.56%
3.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Loko Moscow Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.39%26.61%
1.538.17%61.83%
2.514.85%85.15%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.80%32.20%
1.531.31%68.69%
2.510.64%89.36%
3.52.83%97.17%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Loko Moscow
Score012345
0
8.65%
11.45%
7.58%
3.35%
1.11%
0.29%
1
9.72%
12.87%
8.52%
3.76%
1.24%
0.33%
2
5.46%
7.23%
4.79%
2.11%
0.70%
0.19%
3
2.05%
2.71%
1.79%
0.79%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.57%
0.76%
0.50%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.17%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Sochi
1-09.72%
2-05.46%
2-17.23%
3-02.05%
3-12.71%
3-21.79%
4-00.57%
4-10.76%
4-20.50%
4-30.22%
5-00.13%
5-10.17%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.65%
1-112.87%
2-24.79%
3-30.79%
Loko Moscow
0-111.45%
0-27.58%
1-28.52%
0-33.35%
1-33.76%
2-32.11%
0-41.11%
1-41.24%
2-40.70%
3-40.26%
0-50.29%
1-50.33%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Loko Moscow
Score01234
0
32.20%
19.74%
6.05%
1.24%
0.19%
1
16.75%
10.27%
3.15%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.36%
2.67%
0.82%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.76%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Sochi
1-016.75%
2-04.36%
2-12.67%
3-00.76%
3-10.46%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-032.20%
1-110.27%
2-20.82%
Loko Moscow
0-119.74%
0-26.05%
1-23.15%
0-31.24%
1-30.64%
2-30.17%
0-40.19%
Samara at Krasnodar
Orenburg at Ural