Villarreal at Barcelona

Updated

Villarreal

17.2%21.1%61.7%
WinDrawBarcelona Win
0.95Projected Goals 2.00
0Final Score 3

Barcelona

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Osasuna-135
L 0-1 at Real Sociedad+175
T 0-0 at Cadiz-140
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-135
L 0-1 at Betis+140
Barcelona
Money Line
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+200
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-350
W 1-0 at Mallorca-300
W 0-3 vs Elche-1300
W 4-0 at Cadiz-310

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+500+564+500+600-+600+600+558.2
Barcelona-195-215-215-220--220-215-180.1
Draw+350+383+390+390-+390+390+387.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+540---+510+555+555+558.2
Barcelona-215----280-220-220-180.1
Draw+375---+335+370+370+387.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 30.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +582 to +564
Barcelona ML moved from -230 to -237

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 20.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Barcelona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +500 to +475
Barcelona ML moved from -260 to -280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-123o3-122o3-121-o3-121o3-121o3-110
Underu3-118u3+105u3+102u3+101-u3+101u3+105u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115--o3-125o3-115o3-115o3-110
Underu3-105u3-105--u3-105u3-105u3-105u3+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.26%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 416.49%
Exactly 64.77%
Exactly 80.74%
 
Exactly 115.49%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.71%
Exactly 72.01%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 038.68%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 013.60%
Exactly 127.13%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.00%
Exactly 48.98%
Exactly 53.58%
Exactly 61.19%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.57%
Exactly 223.78%
Exactly 43.68%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.87%
Exactly 310.81%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 064.42%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 039.70%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.94%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals5.73%
Wins by 3+ goals1.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals37.44%
Wins by 3+ goals18.58%
Wins by 4+ goals7.62%
Wins by 5+ goals2.60%
Wins by 6+ goals0.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Barcelona
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal11.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.27%
Wins by 3 goals1.17%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals18.87%
Wins by 3 goals10.96%
Wins by 4 goals5.02%
Wins by 5 goals1.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.59%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.74%5.26%
1.579.25%20.75%
2.556.44%43.56%
3.534.05%65.95%
4.517.56%82.44%
5.57.85%92.15%
6.53.08%96.92%
7.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.32%38.68%
1.524.58%75.42%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.40%13.60%
1.559.27%40.73%
2.532.20%67.80%
3.514.20%85.80%
4.55.22%94.78%
5.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.43%25.57%
1.539.55%60.45%
2.515.78%84.22%
3.54.97%95.03%
4.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Barcelona
Score012345
0
5.26%
10.49%
10.47%
6.96%
3.47%
1.39%
1
5.00%
9.97%
9.94%
6.61%
3.30%
1.32%
2
2.37%
4.73%
4.72%
3.14%
1.57%
0.63%
3
0.75%
1.50%
1.50%
0.99%
0.50%
0.20%
4
0.18%
0.36%
0.36%
0.24%
0.12%
0.05%
Villarreal
1-05.00%
2-02.37%
2-14.73%
3-00.75%
3-11.50%
3-21.50%
4-00.18%
4-10.36%
4-20.36%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-05.26%
1-19.97%
2-24.72%
3-30.99%
4-40.12%
Barcelona
0-110.49%
0-210.47%
1-29.94%
0-36.96%
1-36.61%
2-33.14%
0-43.47%
1-43.30%
2-41.57%
3-40.50%
0-51.39%
1-51.32%
2-50.63%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Barcelona
Score012345
0
25.57%
23.63%
10.91%
3.36%
0.78%
0.14%
1
11.25%
10.39%
4.80%
1.48%
0.34%
0.06%
2
2.47%
2.28%
1.06%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.36%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-011.25%
2-02.47%
2-12.28%
3-00.36%
3-10.33%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-025.57%
1-110.39%
2-21.06%
Barcelona
0-123.63%
0-210.91%
1-24.80%
0-33.36%
1-31.48%
2-30.32%
0-40.78%
1-40.34%
0-50.14%