Atletico Madrid at Sevilla

Updated

Atletico Madrid

39.6%29.7%30.7%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawSevilla Win
1.17Projected Goals 0.91
0Final Score 1

Sevilla

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Alaves-325
T 0-0 at Getafe-125
W 1-2 vs Athletic Club-110
T 1-1 vs Real Madrid+195
W 2-0 at Villarreal+140
Sevilla
Money Line
T 1-1 at Valladolid-120
W 0-2 vs Elche-235
W 0-1 vs Betis-125
L 1-2 at Elche-140
L 2-0 vs Barcelona+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+170+177+165+175+176+175+180-
Sevilla+190+195+200+196+188+196+196-
Draw+200+186+200+200+186+200+200-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+165---+155+180+180-
Sevilla+185---+165+190+190-
Draw+210---+180+190+190-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +170 to +163
Sevilla ML moved from +195 to +183

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Sevilla: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +175 to +165
Sevilla ML moved from +210 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-105o2+107o2+105o2+114-o2+114o2-102-
Underu2-115u2-130u2-125u2-134-u2-134u2-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2+105--o2-115o2+105-
Underu2-125--u2-115u2-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.2%
 
No58.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.46%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 49.77%
Exactly 61.41%
Exactly 80.11%
 
Exactly 125.95%
Exactly 318.76%
Exactly 54.07%
Exactly 70.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 040.28%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.65%
Exactly 35.05%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.12%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 41.37%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 35.70%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 058.08%
Exactly 131.56%
Exactly 28.57%
Exactly 31.55%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 065.64%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.82%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals17.95%
Wins by 3+ goals5.88%
Wins by 4+ goals1.53%
Wins by 5+ goals0.32%
Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals9.76%
Wins by 3+ goals2.52%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.94%
Wins by 2 goals12.07%
Wins by 3 goals4.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.21%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal18.55%
Wins by 2 goals7.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.54%12.46%
1.561.59%38.41%
2.534.57%65.43%
3.515.81%84.19%
4.56.04%93.96%
5.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.07%30.93%
1.532.78%67.22%
2.511.48%88.52%
3.53.15%96.85%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.72%40.28%
1.523.09%76.91%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.88%38.12%
1.525.11%74.89%
2.57.39%92.61%
3.51.69%98.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Score01234
0
12.46%
11.33%
5.15%
1.56%
0.35%
1
14.62%
13.29%
6.04%
1.83%
0.42%
2
8.58%
7.80%
3.55%
1.07%
0.24%
3
3.36%
3.05%
1.39%
0.42%
0.10%
4
0.98%
0.90%
0.41%
0.12%
0.03%
5
0.23%
0.21%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.62%
2-08.58%
2-17.80%
3-03.36%
3-13.05%
3-21.39%
4-00.98%
4-10.90%
4-20.41%
4-30.12%
5-00.23%
5-10.21%
Draw
0-012.46%
1-113.29%
2-23.55%
3-30.42%
Sevilla
0-111.33%
0-25.15%
1-26.04%
0-31.56%
1-31.83%
2-31.07%
0-40.35%
1-40.42%
2-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Sevilla
Score0123
0
38.12%
16.05%
3.38%
0.47%
1
20.71%
8.72%
1.84%
0.26%
2
5.63%
2.37%
0.50%
0.07%
3
1.02%
0.43%
0.09%
0.01%
4
0.14%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-020.71%
2-05.63%
2-12.37%
3-01.02%
3-10.43%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-038.12%
1-18.72%
2-20.50%
Sevilla
0-116.05%
0-23.38%
1-21.84%
0-30.47%
1-30.26%