Villarreal at Alaves

Updated

Villarreal

55.2%21.1%23.7%
Villarreal WinDrawAlaves Win
1.96Projected Goals 0.84
1Final Score 2

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 5-1 at Levante-140
L 2-1 vs Osasuna-145
W 3-0 at Granada+105
W 1-2 vs Cadiz-235
W 3-1 at Eibar+125
Alaves
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Huesca+170
T 0-0 at Athletic Club+350
L 3-1 vs Celta Vigo+205
L 0-1 at Atletico Madrid+1050
T 1-1 vs Cadiz+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+105-149-140-150-136-150-136-
Alaves+285+411+395+470+394+470+470-
Draw+235+289+280+285+256+285+289-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+110----160-160-160-
Alaves+275---+375+425+425-
Draw+225---+230+310+310-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from -137 to -152
Alaves ML moved from +422 to +416

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from -140 to -160
No Steam Moves On Alaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-150o2½-112o2½-105o2½-112-o2½-112o2½-105-
Underu2+125u2½-109u2½-115u2½-108-u2½-108u2½-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2½-105--o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu2½-140u2½-115--u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.10%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 415.55%
Exactly 64.05%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 117.07%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.70%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 014.12%
Exactly 127.65%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.65%
Exactly 48.64%
Exactly 53.38%
Exactly 61.10%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 043.21%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.21%
Exactly 34.25%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.40%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 43.21%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 39.91%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 040.41%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.59%
Exactly 35.01%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 067.81%
Exactly 126.34%
Exactly 25.12%
Exactly 30.66%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals38.65%
Wins by 3+ goals19.09%
Wins by 4+ goals7.77%
Wins by 5+ goals2.63%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals4.67%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals19.56%
Wins by 3 goals11.32%
Wins by 4 goals5.14%
Wins by 5 goals1.91%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal10.65%
Wins by 2 goals3.59%
Wins by 3 goals0.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.90%6.10%
1.576.83%23.17%
2.552.97%47.03%
3.530.72%69.28%
4.515.18%84.82%
5.56.48%93.52%
6.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.88%14.12%
1.558.23%41.77%
2.531.18%68.82%
3.513.52%86.48%
4.54.89%95.11%
5.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.79%43.21%
1.520.53%79.47%
2.55.32%94.68%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.60%27.40%
1.537.13%62.87%
2.514.17%85.83%
3.54.26%95.74%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Alaves
Score01234
0
6.10%
5.12%
2.15%
0.60%
0.13%
1
11.95%
10.02%
4.21%
1.18%
0.25%
2
11.69%
9.81%
4.12%
1.15%
0.24%
3
7.63%
6.40%
2.68%
0.75%
0.16%
4
3.73%
3.13%
1.31%
0.37%
0.08%
5
1.46%
1.23%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
Villarreal
1-011.95%
2-011.69%
2-19.81%
3-07.63%
3-16.40%
3-22.68%
4-03.73%
4-13.13%
4-21.31%
4-30.37%
5-01.46%
5-11.23%
5-20.51%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.10%
1-110.02%
2-24.12%
3-30.75%
Alaves
0-15.12%
0-22.15%
1-24.21%
0-30.60%
1-31.18%
2-31.15%
0-40.13%
1-40.25%
2-40.24%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Alaves
Score0123
0
27.40%
10.64%
2.07%
0.27%
1
24.83%
9.65%
1.87%
0.24%
2
11.25%
4.37%
0.85%
0.11%
3
3.40%
1.32%
0.26%
0.03%
4
0.77%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-024.83%
2-011.25%
2-14.37%
3-03.40%
3-11.32%
3-20.26%
4-00.77%
4-10.30%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-027.40%
1-19.65%
2-20.85%
Alaves
0-110.64%
0-22.07%
1-21.87%
0-30.27%
1-30.24%
2-30.11%