Valencia at Villarreal

Updated

Valencia

12.8%17.9%69.3%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.88Projected Goals 2.30
0Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Valencia
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Osasuna+120
T 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano+225
T 0-0 vs Cadiz+115
W 1-0 at Elche+175
T 0-0 at Getafe+275
Villarreal
Money Line
W 2-1 at Getafe+150
T 1-1 vs Athletic Club+165
L 0-2 at Levante-150
L 0-1 at Cadiz+110
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+450+800+850+878+821+850+878+886.4
Villarreal-165-315-300-297-327-300-297-264.9
Draw+290+440+450+473+449+450+473+479.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Valencia+520---+525+850+850+886.4
Villarreal-200----275-325-275-264.9
Draw+350---+325+450+450+479.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +851 to +821
Villarreal ML moved from -297 to -305

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Valencia: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Valencia: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Valencia ML moved from +580 to +560
Villarreal ML moved from -300 to -325

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o3-105o2¾-125o3-103-o2¾-125o2¾-125o3+104
Underu2½-110u3-115u2¾+105u3-112-u2¾+105u3-112u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o3+100--o3-115o3+100o3+100o3+104
Underu2½+100u3-120--u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.7%
 
No47.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.15%
Exactly 221.01%
Exactly 417.73%
Exactly 65.98%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.21%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.28%
Exactly 72.72%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 041.48%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.06%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.04%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 010.01%
Exactly 123.03%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 320.34%
Exactly 411.71%
Exactly 55.39%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 60.33%
 
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 312.21%
Exactly 51.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 066.53%
Exactly 127.11%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.56%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals3.93%
Wins by 3+ goals0.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals46.13%
Wins by 3+ goals25.55%
Wins by 4+ goals11.87%
Wins by 5+ goals4.68%
Wins by 6+ goals1.57%
Wins by 7+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Valencia
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal8.83%
Wins by 2 goals3.00%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.11%
Wins by 2 goals20.58%
Wins by 3 goals13.68%
Wins by 4 goals7.19%
Wins by 5 goals3.11%
Wins by 6 goals1.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.85%4.15%
1.582.64%17.36%
2.561.63%38.37%
3.539.35%60.65%
4.521.62%78.38%
5.510.34%89.66%
6.54.35%95.65%
7.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.52%41.48%
1.522.02%77.98%
2.55.96%94.04%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.99%10.01%
1.566.96%33.04%
2.540.45%59.55%
3.520.11%79.89%
4.58.40%91.60%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.32%56.68%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
4.15%
9.55%
11.00%
8.44%
4.86%
2.24%
1
3.65%
8.41%
9.68%
7.43%
4.27%
1.97%
2
1.61%
3.70%
4.26%
3.27%
1.88%
0.87%
3
0.47%
1.09%
1.25%
0.96%
0.55%
0.25%
4
0.10%
0.24%
0.27%
0.21%
0.12%
0.06%
Valencia
1-03.65%
2-01.61%
2-13.70%
3-00.47%
3-11.09%
3-21.25%
4-00.10%
4-10.24%
4-20.27%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-04.15%
1-18.41%
2-24.26%
3-30.96%
4-40.12%
Villarreal
0-19.55%
0-211.00%
1-29.68%
0-38.44%
1-37.43%
2-33.27%
0-44.86%
1-44.27%
2-41.88%
3-40.55%
0-52.24%
1-51.97%
2-50.87%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Valencia
Villarreal
Score012345
0
22.92%
24.43%
13.02%
4.62%
1.23%
0.26%
1
9.34%
9.95%
5.30%
1.88%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.90%
2.03%
1.08%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.26%
0.28%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Valencia
1-09.34%
2-01.90%
2-12.03%
3-00.26%
3-10.28%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-022.92%
1-19.95%
2-21.08%
Villarreal
0-124.43%
0-213.02%
1-25.30%
0-34.62%
1-31.88%
2-30.38%
0-41.23%
1-40.50%
2-40.10%
0-50.26%
1-50.11%