Real Madrid at Valladolid

Updated

Real Madrid

74.3%16.4%9.3%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
2.34Projected Goals 0.70
2Final Score 0

Valladolid

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Cadiz-500
L 2-3 at Rayo Vallecano-150
T 1-1 vs Girona-400
W 1-3 vs Sevilla-265
W 3-0 at Elche-380
Valladolid
Money Line
L 0-3 at Athletic Club+700
W 1-2 vs Elche-115
L 0-2 at Osasuna+345
W 0-1 vs Real Sociedad+300
W 1-4 vs Celta Vigo+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-200-218-225-213-206-213-206-193.2
Valladolid+475+587+550+600+605+600+605+620.3
Draw+340+379+380+375+384+375+384+394.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-210----255-230-230-193.2
Valladolid+535---+470+585+585+620.3
Draw+365---+325+380+380+394.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -202 to -208
Valladolid ML moved from +595 to +582

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valladolid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Valladolid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -215 to -230
No Steam Moves On Valladolid ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-121o3-118o3-116o3-112o3-116o3-112o3-104
Underu3-115u3+103u3-102u3-104u3-103u3-104u3+103u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115--o3-125o3-125o3-115o3-104
Underu3-115u3-105--u3-105u3+105u3+105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.3%
 
No54.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.79%
Exactly 222.12%
Exactly 417.01%
Exactly 65.24%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.56%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.34%
Exactly 72.27%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 09.61%
Exactly 122.51%
Exactly 226.36%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 412.05%
Exactly 55.64%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 70.74%
Exactly 80.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Valladolid
Exactly 049.84%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 212.08%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.49%
Exactly 224.24%
Exactly 44.00%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 311.36%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 033.81%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 37.19%
Exactly 41.95%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valladolid
Exactly 072.44%
Exactly 123.35%
Exactly 23.76%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals50.96%
Wins by 3+ goals29.05%
Wins by 4+ goals13.86%
Wins by 5+ goals5.60%
Valladolid
Wins by 2+ goals2.35%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Valladolid
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal23.22%
Wins by 2 goals21.91%
Wins by 3 goals15.19%
Wins by 4 goals8.25%
Wins by 5 goals3.67%
Valladolid
Wins by 1 goal6.90%
Wins by 2 goals1.92%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.21%4.79%
1.580.65%19.35%
2.558.53%41.47%
3.536.14%63.86%
4.519.12%80.88%
5.58.78%91.22%
6.53.55%96.45%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.39%9.61%
1.567.87%32.13%
2.541.51%58.49%
3.520.93%79.07%
4.58.87%91.13%
5.53.23%96.77%
6.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Valladolid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.16%49.84%
1.515.45%84.55%
2.53.37%96.63%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.51%24.49%
1.541.05%58.95%
2.516.81%83.19%
3.55.45%94.55%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Valladolid
Score0123
0
4.79%
3.34%
1.16%
0.27%
1
11.22%
7.81%
2.72%
0.63%
2
13.14%
9.15%
3.19%
0.74%
3
10.26%
7.14%
2.49%
0.58%
4
6.01%
4.18%
1.46%
0.34%
5
2.81%
1.96%
0.68%
0.16%
Real Madrid
1-011.22%
2-013.14%
2-19.15%
3-010.26%
3-17.14%
3-22.49%
4-06.01%
4-14.18%
4-21.46%
4-30.34%
5-02.81%
5-11.96%
5-20.68%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-04.79%
1-17.81%
2-23.19%
3-30.58%
Valladolid
0-13.34%
0-21.16%
1-22.72%
0-30.27%
1-30.63%
2-30.74%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Valladolid
Score0123
0
24.49%
7.90%
1.27%
0.14%
1
26.56%
8.56%
1.38%
0.15%
2
14.40%
4.64%
0.75%
0.08%
3
5.21%
1.68%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.41%
0.45%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-026.56%
2-014.40%
2-14.64%
3-05.21%
3-11.68%
3-20.27%
4-01.41%
4-10.45%
5-00.31%
Draw
0-024.49%
1-18.56%
2-20.75%
Valladolid
0-17.90%
0-21.27%
1-21.38%
0-30.14%
1-30.15%