Real Madrid at Alaves

Updated

Real Madrid

58.5%23.5%18.0%
Real Madrid WinDrawWin
1.73Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 0

Alaves

Last 5 Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Valencia-380
W 2-3 vs Leganes-525
W 2-1 at Villarreal+125
W 1-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-375
L 1-2 at Betis-110
Alaves
Money Line
W 1-0 at Girona+295
L 2-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+115
T 2-2 at Las Palmas+166
W 0-1 vs Villarreal+200
T 1-1 at Mallorca+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-160-144-145-140-145-140-140-129.1
Alaves+420+401+380+415+388+415+415+433.1
Draw+320+299+300+288+286+288+300+301.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid-160--140--190-150-140-129.1
Alaves+430-+370-+375+395+395+433.1
Draw+310-+290-+280+300+300+301.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -138 to -145
Alaves ML moved from +396 to +388

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 10.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Alaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from -180 to -190
Alaves ML moved from +400 to +370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-120o2½-120o2½-115o2½-118o2½-115o2½-115o2½-104
Underu2¾-118u2½+102u2½+100u2½-105u2½-102u2½-105u2½+102u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-120o2½-118-o2½-140o2½-120o2½-118o2½-104
Underu2½+120u2½+100u2½-102-u2½+110u2½+100u2½+110u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.56%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 414.01%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.52%
Exactly 321.70%
Exactly 57.24%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 017.61%
Exactly 130.58%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 315.37%
Exactly 46.67%
Exactly 52.32%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 042.92%
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 215.36%
Exactly 34.33%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.25%
Exactly 221.62%
Exactly 42.58%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.62%
Exactly 50.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 044.75%
Exactly 135.98%
Exactly 214.47%
Exactly 33.88%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 067.59%
Exactly 126.47%
Exactly 25.18%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals33.02%
Wins by 3+ goals14.91%
Wins by 4+ goals5.50%
Wins by 5+ goals1.68%
Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.61%
Wins by 3+ goals1.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Alaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.44%
Wins by 2 goals18.11%
Wins by 3 goals9.41%
Wins by 4 goals3.82%
Wins by 5 goals1.26%
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal12.39%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.44%7.56%
1.572.92%27.08%
2.547.72%52.28%
3.526.02%73.98%
4.512.01%87.99%
5.54.78%95.22%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.39%17.61%
1.551.81%48.19%
2.525.25%74.75%
3.59.88%90.12%
4.53.20%96.80%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.08%42.92%
1.520.78%79.22%
2.55.43%94.57%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.75%30.25%
1.533.58%66.42%
2.511.96%88.04%
3.53.34%96.66%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Alaves
Score01234
0
7.56%
6.39%
2.70%
0.76%
0.16%
1
13.13%
11.10%
4.70%
1.32%
0.28%
2
11.40%
9.64%
4.08%
1.15%
0.24%
3
6.60%
5.58%
2.36%
0.67%
0.14%
4
2.86%
2.42%
1.02%
0.29%
0.06%
5
0.99%
0.84%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
Real Madrid
1-013.13%
2-011.40%
2-19.64%
3-06.60%
3-15.58%
3-22.36%
4-02.86%
4-12.42%
4-21.02%
4-30.29%
5-00.99%
5-10.84%
5-20.36%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.56%
1-111.10%
2-24.08%
3-30.67%
Alaves
0-16.39%
0-22.70%
1-24.70%
0-30.76%
1-31.32%
2-31.15%
0-40.16%
1-40.28%
2-40.24%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Alaves
Score0123
0
30.25%
11.85%
2.32%
0.30%
1
24.32%
9.53%
1.87%
0.24%
2
9.78%
3.83%
0.75%
0.10%
3
2.62%
1.03%
0.20%
0.03%
4
0.53%
0.21%
0.04%
0.01%
Real Madrid
1-024.32%
2-09.78%
2-13.83%
3-02.62%
3-11.03%
3-20.20%
4-00.53%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-030.25%
1-19.53%
2-20.75%
Alaves
0-111.85%
0-22.32%
1-21.87%
0-30.30%
1-30.24%