Atletico Madrid at Valencia

Updated

Atletico Madrid

53.5%24.9%21.6%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawValencia Win
1.61Projected Goals 0.92
1Final Score 0

Valencia

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Villarreal-115
W 3-0 at Getafe-120
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad+165
T 1-1 vs Sevilla-105
W 2-0 at Elche-185
Valencia
Money Line
L 0-1 at Athletic Club+420
W 0-1 vs Girona-115
W 0-2 vs Celta Vigo+165
T 1-1 at Espanyol+160
L 3-0 vs Betis+235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-104-104-105+100-110+100+100+105.2
Valencia+315+322+310+325+321+325+325+342.0
Draw+245+240+220+235+233+235+240+249.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-105----135-110-110+105.2
Valencia+320---+310+335+335+342.0
Draw+230---+220+235+235+249.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -105
Valencia ML moved from +350 to +320

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Valencia: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Valencia: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +100 to -110
Valencia ML moved from +305 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+121o2½+117o2¼-105o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-105o2½+130
Underu2½-143u2½-139u2¼-115u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-139u2½-130
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-140o2½+120--o2½+100o2½+120o2½+120o2½+130
Underu2+120u2½-140--u2½-130u2½-140u2½-130u2½-130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-145 to o2½+115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.97%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 413.60%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.16%
Exactly 321.50%
Exactly 56.88%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 020.03%
Exactly 132.21%
Exactly 225.89%
Exactly 313.88%
Exactly 45.58%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Valencia
Exactly 039.78%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.90%
Exactly 35.19%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.00%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.30%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 047.50%
Exactly 135.36%
Exactly 213.16%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Valencia
Exactly 065.26%
Exactly 127.85%
Exactly 25.94%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals28.48%
Wins by 3+ goals12.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.15%
Wins by 5+ goals1.18%
Valencia
Wins by 2+ goals7.24%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Valencia
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals16.43%
Wins by 3 goals7.90%
Wins by 4 goals2.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.91%
Valencia
Wins by 1 goal14.31%
Wins by 2 goals5.40%
Wins by 3 goals1.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.03%7.97%
1.571.88%28.12%
2.546.38%53.62%
3.524.88%75.12%
4.511.28%88.72%
5.54.40%95.60%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.97%20.03%
1.547.76%52.24%
2.521.87%78.13%
3.57.99%92.01%
4.52.41%97.59%

Total Goals Valencia Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.22%39.78%
1.523.55%76.45%
2.56.65%93.35%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.00%31.00%
1.532.70%67.30%
2.511.43%88.57%
3.53.13%96.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Score01234
0
7.97%
7.34%
3.38%
1.04%
0.24%
1
12.81%
11.81%
5.44%
1.67%
0.39%
2
10.30%
9.50%
4.38%
1.34%
0.31%
3
5.52%
5.09%
2.35%
0.72%
0.17%
4
2.22%
2.05%
0.94%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.71%
0.66%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-012.81%
2-010.30%
2-19.50%
3-05.52%
3-15.09%
3-22.35%
4-02.22%
4-12.05%
4-20.94%
4-30.29%
5-00.71%
5-10.66%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-07.97%
1-111.81%
2-24.38%
3-30.72%
Valencia
0-17.34%
0-23.38%
1-25.44%
0-31.04%
1-31.67%
2-31.34%
0-40.24%
1-40.39%
2-40.31%
3-40.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Valencia
Score0123
0
31.00%
13.23%
2.82%
0.40%
1
23.08%
9.85%
2.10%
0.30%
2
8.59%
3.67%
0.78%
0.11%
3
2.13%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-023.08%
2-08.59%
2-13.67%
3-02.13%
3-10.91%
3-20.19%
4-00.40%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.00%
1-19.85%
2-20.78%
Valencia
0-113.23%
0-22.82%
1-22.10%
0-30.40%
1-30.30%
2-30.11%