Barcelona at Villarreal

Updated

Barcelona

36.4%27.5%36.1%
Barcelona WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.21
4Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Barcelona
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Cadiz-425
T 0-0 at Getafe-185
L 1-2 at Celta Vigo+145
W 0-3 vs Mallorca-435
L 1-3 at Valladolid-105
Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-0 at Mallorca+174
L 2-1 vs Betis-135
T 2-2 vs Atletico Madrid+165
L 1-2 at Rayo Vallecano+125
W 0-2 vs Cadiz-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+112+111-+106+110+106+111+113.2
Villarreal+236+236-+256+248+256+256+268.5
Draw+269+272-+272+269+272+272+285.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Barcelona+105-+115--110+110+115+113.2
Villarreal+245-+241-+210+235+241+268.5
Draw+265-+240-+255+265+265+285.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 0.0%
Villarreal: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Barcelona ML
Villarreal ML moved from +253 to +236

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Barcelona: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Barcelona: 0.0%
Villarreal: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Barcelona: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Barcelona ML moved from +115 to -110
Villarreal ML moved from +235 to +210

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+101-o3-102o2¾-117o3-102o2¾-117o3+107
Underu3-120u3-119-u3-118u2¾+103u3-118u3-118u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+115o3+100-o3-120o3+100o3+115o3+107
Underu3-125u3-135u3-120-u3-110u3-120u3-110u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-110 to o3-107
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-120
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.3%
 
No50.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.86%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 412.74%
Exactly 62.49%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.48%
Exactly 321.02%
Exactly 56.17%
Exactly 70.86%
Exact Goals Scored - Barcelona
Exactly 029.70%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.88%
Exactly 38.85%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 029.83%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.82%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.56%
Exactly 220.50%
Exactly 42.15%
 
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 37.67%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Barcelona
Exactly 057.01%
Exactly 132.04%
Exactly 29.00%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 057.12%
Exactly 131.99%
Exactly 28.96%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Barcelona
Wins by 2+ goals15.48%
Wins by 3+ goals5.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals15.35%
Wins by 3+ goals5.05%
Wins by 4+ goals1.33%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Barcelona
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Barcelona
Wins by 1 goal20.84%
Wins by 2 goals10.37%
Wins by 3 goals3.77%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal20.77%
Wins by 2 goals10.30%
Wins by 3 goals3.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.05%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.14%8.86%
1.569.66%30.34%
2.543.64%56.36%
3.522.62%77.38%
4.59.88%90.12%
5.53.71%96.29%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Barcelona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.30%29.70%
1.534.24%65.76%
2.512.35%87.65%
3.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.17%29.83%
1.534.08%65.92%
2.512.26%87.74%
3.53.46%96.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.44%32.56%
1.530.90%69.10%
2.510.41%89.59%
3.52.74%97.26%

Score Props

Correct Score

Barcelona
Villarreal
Score012345
0
8.86%
10.72%
6.48%
2.61%
0.79%
0.19%
1
10.76%
13.01%
7.87%
3.17%
0.96%
0.23%
2
6.53%
7.90%
4.78%
1.93%
0.58%
0.14%
3
2.64%
3.20%
1.93%
0.78%
0.24%
0.06%
4
0.80%
0.97%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.19%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-010.76%
2-06.53%
2-17.90%
3-02.64%
3-13.20%
3-21.93%
4-00.80%
4-10.97%
4-20.59%
4-30.24%
5-00.19%
5-10.24%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-08.86%
1-113.01%
2-24.78%
3-30.78%
Villarreal
0-110.72%
0-26.48%
1-27.87%
0-32.61%
1-33.17%
2-31.93%
0-40.79%
1-40.96%
2-40.58%
3-40.24%
0-50.19%
1-50.23%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Barcelona
Villarreal
Score01234
0
32.56%
18.23%
5.11%
0.95%
0.13%
1
18.30%
10.25%
2.87%
0.54%
0.07%
2
5.14%
2.88%
0.81%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.96%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.14%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Barcelona
1-018.30%
2-05.14%
2-12.88%
3-00.96%
3-10.54%
3-20.15%
4-00.14%
Draw
0-032.56%
1-110.25%
2-20.81%
Villarreal
0-118.23%
0-25.11%
1-22.87%
0-30.95%
1-30.54%
2-30.15%
0-40.13%