Atletico Madrid at Celta Vigo

Updated

Atletico Madrid

49.5%25.0%25.5%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.61Projected Goals 0.82
2Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 2-1 at Valladolid-350
W 1-2 vs Osasuna-550
W 1-2 vs Real Sociedad-150
T 0-0 at Barcelona+350
W 1-0 at Elche-240
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Betis+220
W 2-1 at Barcelona+1250
W 0-1 vs Getafe+180
W 4-2 at Villarreal+420
W 0-2 vs Levante-115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-135-132+115-120+114+115+115-
Celta Vigo+335+342+265+305+272+275+342-
Draw+260+250+215+250+208+225+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-110----115+125+125-
Celta Vigo+365---+285+250+285-
Draw+220---+200+210+210-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +102 to -104
Celta Vigo ML moved from +274 to +264

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 50.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML
Celta Vigo ML moved from +300 to +250

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.8%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-101o2½-101o2¼+100o2¼+101-o2¼+101o2¼+101-
Underu2½-119u2½-125u2¼-120u2¼-121-u2¼-121u2½-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+120o2-140--o2-125o2½+130o2-125-
Underu2½-140u2+120--u2-105u2½-150u2½-150-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-120 to u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-135 to u2+120

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.84%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 412.75%
Exactly 62.50%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.45%
Exactly 321.03%
Exactly 56.19%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 020.15%
Exactly 132.28%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 313.80%
Exactly 45.53%
Exactly 51.77%
Exactly 60.47%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 043.88%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.89%
Exactly 34.09%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.53%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.68%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 047.63%
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 213.10%
Exactly 33.24%
Exactly 40.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 068.29%
Exactly 126.05%
Exactly 24.97%
Exactly 30.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals29.97%
Wins by 3+ goals12.74%
Wins by 4+ goals4.40%
Wins by 5+ goals1.26%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals5.93%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.81%
Wins by 2 goals17.23%
Wins by 3 goals8.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal13.27%
Wins by 2 goals4.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.16%8.84%
1.569.71%30.29%
2.543.69%56.31%
3.522.66%77.34%
4.59.91%90.09%
5.53.72%96.28%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.85%20.15%
1.547.56%52.44%
2.521.71%78.29%
3.57.91%92.09%
4.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.12%43.88%
1.519.98%80.02%
2.55.09%94.91%
3.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.47%32.53%
1.530.94%69.06%
2.510.43%89.57%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
8.84%
7.28%
3.00%
0.82%
0.17%
1
14.16%
11.67%
4.81%
1.32%
0.27%
2
11.34%
9.34%
3.85%
1.06%
0.22%
3
6.06%
4.99%
2.06%
0.56%
0.12%
4
2.43%
2.00%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
5
0.78%
0.64%
0.26%
0.07%
0.01%
Atletico Madrid
1-014.16%
2-011.34%
2-19.34%
3-06.06%
3-14.99%
3-22.06%
4-02.43%
4-12.00%
4-20.82%
4-30.23%
5-00.78%
5-10.64%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-08.84%
1-111.67%
2-23.85%
3-30.56%
Celta Vigo
0-17.28%
0-23.00%
1-24.81%
0-30.82%
1-31.32%
2-31.06%
0-40.17%
1-40.27%
2-40.22%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Celta Vigo
Score0123
0
32.53%
12.41%
2.37%
0.30%
1
24.12%
9.20%
1.75%
0.22%
2
8.95%
3.41%
0.65%
0.08%
3
2.21%
0.84%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.41%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-024.12%
2-08.95%
2-13.41%
3-02.21%
3-10.84%
3-20.16%
4-00.41%
4-10.16%
Draw
0-032.53%
1-19.20%
2-20.65%
Celta Vigo
0-112.41%
0-22.37%
1-21.75%
0-30.30%
1-30.22%