Villarreal at Girona

Updated

Villarreal

47.9%26.2%25.8%
Villarreal WinDrawGirona Win
1.47Projected Goals 1.01
2Final Score 1

Girona

Last 5 Games

Villarreal
Money Line
W 1-5 vs Athletic Club+110
T 1-1 at Valencia+175
W 1-3 vs Celta Vigo-135
W 2-4 vs Espanyol-190
L 1-2 at Sevilla+160
Girona
Money Line
T 2-2 at Real Sociedad+465
W 1-2 vs Mallorca-110
W 2-0 at Sevilla+310
W 2-4 vs Real Madrid+410
L 0-1 at Valladolid+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+154+160+155+165+167+165+167+174.1
Girona+171+157+150+154+155+154+157+162.7
Draw+262+276+285+280+285+280+285+293.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal+130---+115+150+150+174.1
Girona+185---+165+165+165+162.7
Draw+275---+250+265+265+293.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Girona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Girona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Girona: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from +145 to +130
Girona ML moved from +161 to +155

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Girona: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Girona: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Girona: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML
Girona ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+118o3-127o3¼+100o3-120o3-118o3-120o3-118o3-109
Underu3-140u3+107u3¼-120u3+100u3+103u3+100u3¼-120u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100--o3-105o3-125o3+100o3-109
Underu3-120u3-120--u3-125u3+105u3+105u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.39%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 413.19%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.79%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.54%
Exactly 70.96%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 022.95%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 312.20%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Girona
Exactly 036.55%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.51%
Exactly 36.21%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.74%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 050.59%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.75%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Girona
Exactly 062.75%
Exactly 129.24%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals23.77%
Wins by 3+ goals9.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.91%
Wins by 5+ goals0.72%
Girona
Wins by 2+ goals9.34%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Girona
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.05%
Wins by 2 goals14.49%
Wins by 3 goals6.37%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.60%
Girona
Wins by 1 goal16.45%
Wins by 2 goals6.77%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.47%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.61%8.39%
1.570.83%29.17%
2.545.07%54.93%
3.523.78%76.22%
4.510.60%89.40%
5.54.06%95.94%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.05%22.95%
1.543.27%56.73%
2.518.41%81.59%
3.56.22%93.78%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Girona Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.45%36.55%
1.526.67%73.33%
2.58.15%91.85%
3.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.26%31.74%
1.531.83%68.17%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Girona
Score01234
0
8.39%
8.44%
4.25%
1.43%
0.36%
1
12.34%
12.43%
6.25%
2.10%
0.53%
2
9.09%
9.15%
4.60%
1.54%
0.39%
3
4.46%
4.49%
2.26%
0.76%
0.19%
4
1.64%
1.65%
0.83%
0.28%
0.07%
5
0.48%
0.49%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Villarreal
1-012.34%
2-09.09%
2-19.15%
3-04.46%
3-14.49%
3-22.26%
4-01.64%
4-11.65%
4-20.83%
4-30.28%
5-00.48%
5-10.49%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.39%
1-112.43%
2-24.60%
3-30.76%
Girona
0-18.44%
0-24.25%
1-26.25%
0-31.43%
1-32.10%
2-31.54%
0-40.36%
1-40.53%
2-40.39%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Girona
Score0123
0
31.74%
14.79%
3.45%
0.54%
1
21.63%
10.08%
2.35%
0.36%
2
7.37%
3.44%
0.80%
0.12%
3
1.67%
0.78%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.29%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-021.63%
2-07.37%
2-13.44%
3-01.67%
3-10.78%
3-20.18%
4-00.29%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.74%
1-110.08%
2-20.80%
Girona
0-114.79%
0-23.45%
1-22.35%
0-30.54%
1-30.36%
2-30.12%