Atletico Madrid at Almeria

Updated

Atletico Madrid

54.4%25.3%20.3%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawAlmeria Win
1.58Projected Goals 0.85
1Final Score 1

Almeria

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Barcelona+210
W 0-2 vs Elche-380
L 0-1 at Mallorca+120
T 1-1 vs Espanyol-210
L 2-3 at Cadiz-160
Almeria
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Real Sociedad+325
T 1-1 at Cadiz+255
W 0-1 vs Getafe+105
L 0-2 at Barcelona+2100
W 1-3 vs Celta Vigo+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-140-133-140-135-130-135-130-123.7
Almeria+370+391+370+405+414+405+414+425.4
Draw+290+276+285+280+281+280+285+289.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid-135----165-135-135-123.7
Almeria+370---+355+390+390+425.4
Draw+280---+250+265+265+289.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from -125 to -132
Almeria ML moved from +380 to +370

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Almeria: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Atletico Madrid ML
Almeria ML moved from +385 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-104o2½-105o2½-104o2½-103o2½-104o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½-110u2½-114u2½-115u2½-116u2½-112u2½-116u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-105--o2½-115o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-105u2½-115--u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.79%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.52%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.37%
Exactly 321.06%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 020.65%
Exactly 132.57%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 313.51%
Exactly 45.33%
Exactly 51.68%
Exactly 60.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 042.55%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 215.54%
Exactly 34.43%
Exactly 40.95%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.43%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 048.17%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 212.85%
Exactly 33.13%
Exactly 40.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 067.32%
Exactly 126.64%
Exactly 25.27%
Exactly 30.70%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals28.72%
Wins by 3+ goals11.98%
Wins by 4+ goals4.01%
Wins by 5+ goals1.06%
Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals6.46%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal25.55%
Wins by 2 goals16.75%
Wins by 3 goals7.97%
Wins by 4 goals2.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.88%
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal13.84%
Wins by 2 goals4.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.26%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.21%8.79%
1.569.85%30.15%
2.543.86%56.14%
3.522.80%77.20%
4.59.99%90.01%
5.53.76%96.24%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.35%20.65%
1.546.77%53.23%
2.521.08%78.92%
3.57.57%92.43%
4.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.45%42.55%
1.521.09%78.91%
2.55.56%94.44%
3.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.57%32.43%
1.531.05%68.95%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
Score01234
0
8.79%
7.51%
3.21%
0.91%
0.20%
1
13.86%
11.84%
5.06%
1.44%
0.31%
2
10.93%
9.34%
3.99%
1.14%
0.24%
3
5.75%
4.91%
2.10%
0.60%
0.13%
4
2.27%
1.94%
0.83%
0.24%
0.05%
5
0.72%
0.61%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.86%
2-010.93%
2-19.34%
3-05.75%
3-14.91%
3-22.10%
4-02.27%
4-11.94%
4-20.83%
4-30.24%
5-00.72%
5-10.61%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-08.79%
1-111.84%
2-23.99%
3-30.60%
Almeria
0-17.51%
0-23.21%
1-25.06%
0-30.91%
1-31.44%
2-31.14%
0-40.20%
1-40.31%
2-40.24%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Almeria
Score0123
0
32.43%
12.83%
2.54%
0.33%
1
23.69%
9.37%
1.85%
0.24%
2
8.65%
3.42%
0.68%
0.09%
3
2.11%
0.83%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.38%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-023.69%
2-08.65%
2-13.42%
3-02.11%
3-10.83%
3-20.16%
4-00.38%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-032.43%
1-19.37%
2-20.68%
Almeria
0-112.83%
0-22.54%
1-21.85%
0-30.33%
1-30.24%