Atletico Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Atletico Madrid

34.8%29.5%35.7%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.09
2Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-230
L 1-2 at Granada-195
L 1-2 at Sevilla+170
L 0-2 at Real Madrid+315
L 2-1 vs Mallorca-300
Villarreal
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Levante-270
W 2-5 vs Alaves-260
W 3-1 at Real Sociedad+250
W 0-2 vs Rayo Vallecano-145
L 0-1 at Sevilla+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+155+195+200+204+191+200+204+207.7
Villarreal+185+155+160+157+148+160+160+166.8
Draw+210+215+215+230+220+215+230+233.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+160---+140+195+195+207.7
Villarreal+170---+150+155+155+166.8
Draw+235---+220+215+220+233.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +201 to +190
Villarreal ML moved from +154 to +147

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +205 to +195
Villarreal ML moved from +175 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2¼-125o2½+105o2½+109-o2½+105o2¼-125o2¼-113
Underu2¼-112u2¼+105u2½-125u2½-124-u2½-125u2½-124u2¼+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+115--o2½+105o2½+120o2½+120o2¼-113
Underu2½-135u2½-135--u2½-135u2½-140u2½-135u2¼+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 226.91%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 034.44%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 033.52%
Exactly 136.64%
Exactly 220.02%
Exactly 37.29%
Exactly 41.99%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 061.04%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 060.29%
Exactly 130.51%
Exactly 27.72%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals13.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.99%
Wins by 4+ goals0.90%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals14.32%
Wins by 3+ goals4.33%
Wins by 4+ goals1.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal21.01%
Wins by 2 goals9.51%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.77%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.54%
Wins by 2 goals9.99%
Wins by 3 goals3.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.53%36.47%
2.536.63%63.37%
3.517.26%82.74%
4.56.81%93.19%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.56%34.44%
1.528.85%71.15%
2.59.28%90.72%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.48%33.52%
1.529.84%70.16%
2.59.82%90.18%
3.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.41%73.59%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score012345
0
11.54%
12.62%
6.90%
2.51%
0.69%
0.15%
1
12.31%
13.45%
7.35%
2.68%
0.73%
0.16%
2
6.56%
7.17%
3.92%
1.43%
0.39%
0.09%
3
2.33%
2.55%
1.39%
0.51%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.62%
0.68%
0.37%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-012.31%
2-06.56%
2-17.17%
3-02.33%
3-12.55%
3-21.39%
4-00.62%
4-10.68%
4-20.37%
4-30.14%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.54%
1-113.45%
2-23.92%
3-30.51%
Villarreal
0-112.62%
0-26.90%
1-27.35%
0-32.51%
1-32.68%
2-31.43%
0-40.69%
1-40.73%
2-40.39%
3-40.14%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
36.80%
18.62%
4.71%
0.79%
0.10%
1
18.16%
9.19%
2.33%
0.39%
0.05%
2
4.48%
2.27%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.74%
0.37%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-018.16%
2-04.48%
2-12.27%
3-00.74%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-036.80%
1-19.19%
2-20.57%
Villarreal
0-118.62%
0-24.71%
1-22.33%
0-30.79%
1-30.39%
0-40.10%