Alaves at Celta Vigo

Updated

Alaves

18.4%23.7%57.8%
WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
0.85Projected Goals 1.72
1Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Alaves
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Athletic Club+330
L 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano+325
W 0-1 vs Valencia+210
L 0-1 at Getafe+265
W 3-4 vs Sevilla+250
Celta Vigo
Money Line
L 2-3 at Barcelona+1000
L 1-0 vs Mallorca+108
W 3-2 at Almeria+150
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+350
T 1-1 at Real Sociedad+475

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+323+540+500+580+580+580+580+603.8
Celta Vigo-101-162-170-169-169-169-162-154.4
Draw+232+278+280+285+285+285+285+298.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Alaves+425-+505-+455+500+505+603.8
Celta Vigo-135--165--175-160-160-154.4
Draw+250-+278-+220+270+278+298.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +590 to +563
Celta Vigo ML moved from -152 to -159

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Alaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Alaves: 10.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Alaves: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Alaves ML moved from +505 to +495
Celta Vigo ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-122o2½+123o2¼-105o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼+102
Underu2+104u2½-145u2¼-115u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2½-145u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-130o2-145o2-147-o2-145o2-145o2-145o2¼+102
Underu2+110u2+125u2+127-u2+115u2+125u2+127u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.66%
Exactly 225.28%
Exactly 413.91%
Exactly 63.06%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.68%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 57.15%
Exactly 71.12%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Alaves
Exactly 042.63%
Exactly 136.35%
Exactly 215.50%
Exactly 34.40%
Exactly 40.94%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 017.97%
Exactly 130.84%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 315.15%
Exactly 46.50%
Exactly 52.23%
Exactly 60.64%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.43%
Exactly 221.53%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.20%
Exactly 38.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Alaves
Exactly 067.38%
Exactly 126.60%
Exactly 25.25%
Exactly 30.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 045.17%
Exactly 135.90%
Exactly 214.27%
Exactly 33.78%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Alaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.79%
Wins by 3+ goals1.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals32.39%
Wins by 3+ goals14.49%
Wins by 4+ goals5.29%
Wins by 5+ goals1.60%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Alaves
Wins by 1 goal12.63%
Wins by 2 goals4.42%
Wins by 3 goals1.12%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal25.43%
Wins by 2 goals17.90%
Wins by 3 goals9.20%
Wins by 4 goals3.69%
Wins by 5 goals1.21%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.34%7.66%
1.572.66%27.34%
2.547.38%52.62%
3.525.73%74.27%
4.511.83%88.17%
5.54.68%95.32%
6.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Alaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.37%42.63%
1.521.02%78.98%
2.55.53%94.47%
3.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.03%17.97%
1.551.19%48.81%
2.524.72%75.28%
3.59.57%90.43%
4.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.57%30.43%
1.533.36%66.64%
2.511.83%88.17%
3.53.29%96.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Alaves
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
7.66%
13.15%
11.28%
6.46%
2.77%
0.95%
1
6.53%
11.21%
9.62%
5.51%
2.36%
0.81%
2
2.78%
4.78%
4.10%
2.35%
1.01%
0.35%
3
0.79%
1.36%
1.17%
0.67%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.17%
0.29%
0.25%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Alaves
1-06.53%
2-02.78%
2-14.78%
3-00.79%
3-11.36%
3-21.17%
4-00.17%
4-10.29%
4-20.25%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.66%
1-111.21%
2-24.10%
3-30.67%
Celta Vigo
0-113.15%
0-211.28%
1-29.62%
0-36.46%
1-35.51%
2-32.35%
0-42.77%
1-42.36%
2-41.01%
3-40.29%
0-50.95%
1-50.81%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Alaves
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
30.43%
24.19%
9.61%
2.55%
0.51%
1
12.01%
9.55%
3.80%
1.01%
0.20%
2
2.37%
1.88%
0.75%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.31%
0.25%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Alaves
1-012.01%
2-02.37%
2-11.88%
3-00.31%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-030.43%
1-19.55%
2-20.75%
Celta Vigo
0-124.19%
0-29.61%
1-23.80%
0-32.55%
1-31.01%
2-30.20%
0-40.51%
1-40.20%