Sevilla at Villarreal

Updated

Sevilla

26.7%26.2%47.1%
Sevilla WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.47
2Final Score 3

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Granada-145
T 1-1 at Betis+290
W 1-2 vs Mallorca+110
W 2-0 at Las Palmas+160
W 1-0 at Getafe+205
Villarreal
Money Line
L 2-3 at Celta Vigo+170
W 0-3 vs Rayo Vallecano-125
W 2-1 at Almeria-105
T 1-1 at Athletic Club+438
L 2-1 vs Atletico Madrid+210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+255+254+240+268+265+268+268+280.7
Villarreal-105+102+100+101-102+101+102+107.9
Draw+295+281+290+277+290+277+290+290.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+295-+252+270+260+270+270+280.7
Villarreal-120--103-125-130-105-103+107.9
Draw+295-+283+265+255+275+283+290.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +261 to +254
Villarreal ML moved from -105 to -114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +288 to +252
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-104o3-102o3-103o3-101o3-103o3-101o3+106
Underu3-118u3-114u3-118u3-117u3-115u3-117u3-114u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-105o3+100o3-105o3-110o3-105o3+100o3+106
Underu3-115u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-120u3-115u3-115u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.13%
Exactly 225.60%
Exactly 413.44%
Exactly 62.82%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.41%
Exactly 321.42%
Exactly 56.74%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 035.42%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.08%
Exactly 36.60%
Exactly 41.71%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 022.96%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 312.19%
Exactly 44.49%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.29%
Exactly 221.12%
Exactly 42.38%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.18%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 061.84%
Exactly 129.72%
Exactly 27.14%
Exactly 31.14%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 050.59%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals9.86%
Wins by 3+ goals2.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.59%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals23.31%
Wins by 3+ goals9.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal16.75%
Wins by 2 goals7.08%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.51%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal23.75%
Wins by 2 goals14.23%
Wins by 3 goals6.24%
Wins by 4 goals2.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.87%8.13%
1.571.46%28.54%
2.545.86%54.14%
3.524.44%75.56%
4.511.01%88.99%
5.54.27%95.73%
6.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.58%35.42%
1.527.82%72.18%
2.58.74%91.26%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.04%22.96%
1.543.26%56.74%
2.518.40%81.60%
3.56.21%93.79%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.71%31.29%
1.532.35%67.65%
2.511.23%88.77%
3.53.06%96.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score012345
0
8.13%
11.97%
8.80%
4.32%
1.59%
0.47%
1
8.44%
12.42%
9.14%
4.48%
1.65%
0.49%
2
4.38%
6.44%
4.74%
2.33%
0.86%
0.25%
3
1.52%
2.23%
1.64%
0.80%
0.30%
0.09%
4
0.39%
0.58%
0.43%
0.21%
0.08%
0.02%
Sevilla
1-08.44%
2-04.38%
2-16.44%
3-01.52%
3-12.23%
3-21.64%
4-00.39%
4-10.58%
4-20.43%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-08.13%
1-112.42%
2-24.74%
3-30.80%
Villarreal
0-111.97%
0-28.80%
1-29.14%
0-34.32%
1-34.48%
2-32.33%
0-41.59%
1-41.65%
2-40.86%
3-40.30%
0-50.47%
1-50.49%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Villarreal
Score01234
0
31.29%
21.32%
7.26%
1.65%
0.28%
1
15.04%
10.24%
3.49%
0.79%
0.13%
2
3.61%
2.46%
0.84%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.58%
0.39%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Sevilla
1-015.04%
2-03.61%
2-12.46%
3-00.58%
3-10.39%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.29%
1-110.24%
2-20.84%
Villarreal
0-121.32%
0-27.26%
1-23.49%
0-31.65%
1-30.79%
2-30.19%
0-40.28%
1-40.13%