Almeria at Real Sociedad

Updated

Almeria

15.1%21.2%63.7%
WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.94
0Final Score 1

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Almeria
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Mallorca+125
L 1-3 at Osasuna+290
W 1-2 vs Elche-145
L 2-4 at Real Madrid+1250
W 2-1 at Getafe+380
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-1 at Barcelona+365
T 2-2 vs Girona-155
W 0-2 vs Real Madrid+140
W 2-0 at Osasuna+120
T 0-0 at Betis+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+469+706+600+775+806+775+806+805.7
Real Sociedad-166-248-260-253-251-253-248-225.1
Draw+316+392+420+390+404+390+420+407.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Almeria+625---+550+750+750+805.7
Real Sociedad-230----280-275-275-225.1
Draw+365---+325+400+400+407.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +794 to +769
Real Sociedad ML moved from -245 to -251

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Almeria: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Almeria: 30.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Almeria: 10.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Almeria ML moved from +620 to +600
Real Sociedad ML moved from -255 to -275

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o3-105o3-105o3-104o2½-159o3-104o2½-150o3+105
Underu2½+116u3-111u3-115u3-116u2½+144u3-116u3-111u3-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o3+100--o3-105o3-105o3+100o3+105
Underu3-130u3-120--u3-125u3-115u3-115u3-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-125 to o3-118
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+110 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.32%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 415.32%
Exactly 63.90%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.45%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.46%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Almeria
Exactly 043.97%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.84%
Exactly 34.06%
Exactly 40.83%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 014.36%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 317.49%
Exactly 48.49%
Exactly 53.29%
Exactly 61.07%
Exactly 70.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.84%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 39.70%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Almeria
Exactly 068.36%
Exactly 126.00%
Exactly 24.95%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 040.72%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.43%
Exactly 34.92%
Exactly 41.11%
Exactly 50.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Almeria
Wins by 2+ goals4.55%
Wins by 3+ goals1.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals38.58%
Wins by 3+ goals18.97%
Wins by 4+ goals7.67%
Wins by 5+ goals2.58%
Wins by 6+ goals0.70%
Wins by 7+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Almeria
Real Sociedad
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Almeria
Wins by 1 goal10.58%
Wins by 2 goals3.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal25.00%
Wins by 2 goals19.61%
Wins by 3 goals11.29%
Wins by 4 goals5.09%
Wins by 5 goals1.88%
Wins by 6 goals0.58%
Wins by 7 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.68%6.32%
1.576.24%23.76%
2.552.15%47.85%
3.529.96%70.04%
4.514.65%85.35%
5.56.19%93.81%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Almeria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.03%43.97%
1.519.90%80.10%
2.55.06%94.94%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.64%14.36%
1.557.76%42.24%
2.530.72%69.28%
3.513.23%86.77%
4.54.74%95.26%
5.51.45%98.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.16%27.84%
1.536.57%63.43%
2.513.80%86.20%
3.54.10%95.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Almeria
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
6.32%
12.26%
11.89%
7.69%
3.73%
1.45%
1
5.19%
10.07%
9.77%
6.32%
3.07%
1.19%
2
2.13%
4.14%
4.01%
2.60%
1.26%
0.49%
3
0.58%
1.13%
1.10%
0.71%
0.34%
0.13%
4
0.12%
0.23%
0.23%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
Almeria
1-05.19%
2-02.13%
2-14.14%
3-00.58%
3-11.13%
3-21.10%
4-00.12%
4-10.23%
4-20.23%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.32%
1-110.07%
2-24.01%
3-30.71%
Real Sociedad
0-112.26%
0-211.89%
1-29.77%
0-37.69%
1-36.32%
2-32.60%
0-43.73%
1-43.07%
2-41.26%
3-40.34%
0-51.45%
1-51.19%
2-50.49%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Almeria
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
27.84%
25.01%
11.23%
3.36%
0.76%
0.14%
1
10.59%
9.51%
4.27%
1.28%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.01%
1.81%
0.81%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.23%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Almeria
1-010.59%
2-02.01%
2-11.81%
3-00.26%
3-10.23%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-027.84%
1-19.51%
2-20.81%
Real Sociedad
0-125.01%
0-211.23%
1-24.27%
0-33.36%
1-31.28%
2-30.24%
0-40.76%
1-40.29%
0-50.14%