Real Sociedad at Villarreal

Updated

Real Sociedad

18.0%22.0%60.0%
WinDrawVillarreal Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.90
0Final Score 2

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Elche-260
T 1-1 at Mallorca+145
T 0-0 vs Cadiz-185
L 0-1 at Valencia+140
T 1-1 vs Celta Vigo-125
Villarreal
Money Line
W 3-0 at Osasuna+150
T 1-1 vs Betis-145
W 2-0 at Almeria+120
W 1-2 vs Getafe-145
L 2-4 at Mallorca+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+220+194+195+208+209+208+209+218.5
Villarreal+135+166+160+160+165+160+166+168.8
Draw+225+209+210+208+213+208+213+218.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Sociedad+215---+200+200+200+218.5
Villarreal+140---+120+160+160+168.8
Draw+215---+195+200+200+218.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Villarreal: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +197 to +188
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Villarreal: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Sociedad: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Sociedad ML moved from +215 to +185
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-108o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+100o2½+141o2¼+100o2-140o2¼+109
Underu2¼-112u2+118u2¼-125u2¼-120u2½-156u2¼-120u2½-150u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-135o2-135--o2-140o2-140o2-135o2¼+109
Underu2+115u2+115--u2+110u2+120u2+120u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2-140 to o2½+120
The Under moved from u2½-150 to u2+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.21%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.69%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.93%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 039.35%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.11%
Exactly 35.32%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 014.98%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 226.99%
Exactly 317.08%
Exactly 48.11%
Exactly 53.08%
Exactly 60.97%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 064.93%
Exactly 128.04%
Exactly 26.05%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 041.52%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.04%
Exactly 34.70%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals5.95%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals35.43%
Wins by 3+ goals16.98%
Wins by 4+ goals6.70%
Wins by 5+ goals2.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Sociedad
Villarreal
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal12.03%
Wins by 2 goals4.45%
Wins by 3 goals1.21%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal24.49%
Wins by 2 goals18.46%
Wins by 3 goals10.28%
Wins by 4 goals4.50%
Wins by 5 goals1.61%
Wins by 6 goals0.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.41%22.59%
2.553.79%46.21%
3.531.50%68.50%
4.515.72%84.28%
5.56.78%93.22%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.65%39.35%
1.523.95%76.05%
2.56.83%93.17%
3.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.02%14.98%
1.556.58%43.42%
2.529.58%70.42%
3.512.50%87.50%
4.54.39%95.61%
5.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.04%26.96%
1.537.70%62.30%
2.514.54%85.46%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Score012345
0
5.90%
11.19%
10.62%
6.72%
3.19%
1.21%
1
5.50%
10.44%
9.91%
6.27%
2.98%
1.13%
2
2.56%
4.87%
4.62%
2.92%
1.39%
0.53%
3
0.80%
1.51%
1.44%
0.91%
0.43%
0.16%
4
0.19%
0.35%
0.33%
0.21%
0.10%
0.04%
Real Sociedad
1-05.50%
2-02.56%
2-14.87%
3-00.80%
3-11.51%
3-21.44%
4-00.19%
4-10.35%
4-20.33%
4-30.21%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-110.44%
2-24.62%
3-30.91%
4-40.10%
Villarreal
0-111.19%
0-210.62%
1-29.91%
0-36.72%
1-36.27%
2-32.92%
0-43.19%
1-42.98%
2-41.39%
3-40.43%
0-51.21%
1-51.13%
2-50.53%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Score012345
0
26.96%
23.70%
10.41%
3.05%
0.67%
0.12%
1
11.64%
10.23%
4.50%
1.32%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.51%
2.21%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.36%
0.32%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Real Sociedad
1-011.64%
2-02.51%
2-12.21%
3-00.36%
3-10.32%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-026.96%
1-110.23%
2-20.97%
Villarreal
0-123.70%
0-210.41%
1-24.50%
0-33.05%
1-31.32%
2-30.28%
0-40.67%
1-40.29%
0-50.12%