Sevilla at Celta Vigo

Updated

Sevilla

33.5%29.2%37.3%
Sevilla WinDrawCelta Vigo Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.13
1Final Score 1

Celta Vigo

Last 5 Games

Sevilla
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Real Sociedad+150
T 1-1 at Betis+265
L 1-0 vs Rayo Vallecano+105
L 1-3 at Real Madrid+710
T 1-1 vs Valencia+125
Celta Vigo
Money Line
T 0-0 at Rayo Vallecano+275
L 2-1 vs Osasuna+130
L 1-3 at Almeria+125
T 1-1 vs Getafe-145
L 1-4 at Valladolid+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+200+244+240+255+251+255+255+258.3
Celta Vigo+140+130+125+127+132+127+132+136.8
Draw+210+218+220+221+228+221+228+234.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sevilla+230---+225+240+240+258.3
Celta Vigo+125---+100+125+125+136.8
Draw+230---+215+220+220+234.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 30.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +257 to +249
Celta Vigo ML moved from +131 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sevilla: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sevilla: 20.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sevilla: 0.0%
Celta Vigo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sevilla ML moved from +250 to +240
Celta Vigo ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-133o2¼+108o2¼+106o2½+147o2¼+106o2-133o2½+153
Underu2¼-118u2+113u2¼-128u2¼-126u2½-162u2¼-126u2¼-126u2½-153
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-145o2-130--o2½+110o2-130o2-130o2½+153
Underu2+125u2+110--u2½-140u2+110u2½-140u2½-153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-145 to u2+100

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.16%
Exactly 226.83%
Exactly 410.75%
Exactly 61.72%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.47%
Exactly 319.61%
Exactly 54.71%
Exactly 70.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Sevilla
Exactly 034.70%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.44%
Exactly 36.86%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Celta Vigo
Exactly 032.16%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.69%
Exactly 37.82%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.23%
Exactly 218.67%
Exactly 41.60%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.32%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sevilla
Exactly 061.26%
Exactly 130.02%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Celta Vigo
Exactly 059.14%
Exactly 131.06%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sevilla
Wins by 2+ goals12.95%
Wins by 3+ goals3.79%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 2+ goals15.28%
Wins by 3+ goals4.76%
Wins by 4+ goals1.13%
Wins by 5+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sevilla
Wins by 1 goal20.47%
Wins by 2 goals9.16%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Celta Vigo
Wins by 1 goal21.94%
Wins by 2 goals10.52%
Wins by 3 goals3.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.84%11.16%
1.564.37%35.63%
2.537.53%62.47%
3.517.92%82.08%
4.57.17%92.83%
5.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Sevilla Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.30%34.70%
1.528.57%71.43%
2.59.13%90.87%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Celta Vigo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.84%32.16%
1.531.35%68.65%
2.510.66%89.34%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.77%36.23%
1.526.98%73.02%
2.58.31%91.69%
3.51.99%98.01%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Score012345
0
11.16%
12.66%
7.18%
2.72%
0.77%
0.17%
1
11.81%
13.40%
7.60%
2.87%
0.81%
0.18%
2
6.25%
7.09%
4.02%
1.52%
0.43%
0.10%
3
2.21%
2.50%
1.42%
0.54%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.58%
0.66%
0.38%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-011.81%
2-06.25%
2-17.09%
3-02.21%
3-12.50%
3-21.42%
4-00.58%
4-10.66%
4-20.38%
4-30.14%
5-00.12%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.16%
1-113.40%
2-24.02%
3-30.54%
Celta Vigo
0-112.66%
0-27.18%
1-27.60%
0-32.72%
1-32.87%
2-31.52%
0-40.77%
1-40.81%
2-40.43%
3-40.15%
0-50.17%
1-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Score01234
0
36.23%
19.03%
5.00%
0.87%
0.11%
1
17.75%
9.32%
2.45%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.35%
2.28%
0.60%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.71%
0.37%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Sevilla
1-017.75%
2-04.35%
2-12.28%
3-00.71%
3-10.37%
Draw
0-036.23%
1-19.32%
2-20.60%
Celta Vigo
0-119.03%
0-25.00%
1-22.45%
0-30.87%
1-30.43%
2-30.11%
0-40.11%